Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58cfe0b9504676d485214837b167060e25a6fd1aab287a501cf29cd94de4e0bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 17c | 24,308$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.69 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 14,498$11,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.04 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 80c | 13,028$10,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.51 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 11,073$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.8 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 9,484$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.79 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 80c | 7,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 9c | 6,913$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.47 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 12c | 5,407$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.12 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 5,293$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.66 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 4,909$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.43 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 65c | 3,356$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.73 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 3,060$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.07 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 65c | 2,462$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.54 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 52c | 2,063$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.38 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.43 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 80c | 1,927$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.42 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 80c | 1,900$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,818$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.97 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 78c | 1,541$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.6 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 1,483$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.04 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,465$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.62 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 15c | 1,250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 20c | 1,150$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed No | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 17c | 841.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 29c | 764.9$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.79 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 38c | 600$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.42 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 576.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 538.44$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.41 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 30c | 480.82$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.71 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…b910backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137a…636dbacked Yes | 73c | 441.95$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 27c | 407.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 17c | 400.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 20c | 390$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 36c | 368.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 347.25$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 64c | 334$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 64c | 308.52$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 72c | 304.64$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.57 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 72c | 300$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 20c | 290.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de6…2393backed Yes | 71c | 283.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Yes | 17c | 259.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 21c | 239.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Yes | 75c | 234.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 69c | 233.51$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…f4d2backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 16c | 188.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 62c | 166.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648b…8c77backed Yes | 75c | 166.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 9c | 161.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 160.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 159.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 31c | 153.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2261…727bbacked Yes | 72c | 152.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 80c | 149.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 17c | 143.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed No | 80c | 136.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 8c | 135.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 29c | 133.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 118$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 76c | 107.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 72c | 103.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 17c | 102.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 13c | 97.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 14c | 92.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…d2d9backed Yes | 22c | 91.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked No | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 88.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 20c | 87.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 20c | 83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 60c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…b339backed Yes | 15c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 26c | 66.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 61c | 63.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 17c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?Yes won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.