Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3bf30f476709fd02fe53772f53a6028e94326a4340a858ae6af33b4fcf0eba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 77c | 7,054$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.14 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 74c | 4,802$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 3,328$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.06 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 3,007$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.47 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 2,764$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.44 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 2,377$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.96 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 16c | 2,301$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.08 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 22c | 2,282$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.82 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…9e3cbacked No | 64c | 2,000$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,554$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.19 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Yes | 77c | 1,302$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 38c | 1,243$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.74 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 22c | 1,200$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 12c | 1,153$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 65c | 969.63$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.69 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 25c | 887.34$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.44 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 788$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.76 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 64c | 698$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.46 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 697.01$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.03 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Yes | 18c | 647.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 69c | 600$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.34 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 498.64$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.25 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…8e1dbacked Yes | 23c | 447.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 62c | 411.57$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 21c | 410.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.63 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 398.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.66 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 372.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes | 32c | 359.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 57c | 349.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 60c | 343$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 45c | 342.9$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.09 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 57c | 295.06$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137a…636dbacked Yes | 78c | 289.66$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 30c | 250.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 239.28$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 77c | 222.95$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.67 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 71c | 211.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 26c | 210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 24c | 208.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.26 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Yes | 23c | 180$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked No | 22c | 178.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 80c | 168$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 40c | 156.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 153.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 29c | 138.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 24c | 122.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Yes | 78c | 115.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 107.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 63c | 92.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 59c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 78c | 79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 77.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…b341backed Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 74c | 74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 64c | 65.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 78c | 64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 74cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 23c | 63.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 78c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 75c | 59.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…0ecbbacked Yes | 23c | 53.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 49.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 29c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 77c | 42.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 42.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…13febacked Yes | 80c | 37.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked No | 75c | 35.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 41c | 32.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 65c | 32.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c03…70d1backed No | 70c | 29.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked No | 78c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.