Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. Virtus Bologna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4d8e24526300ef45c9432ad958178bb005a5591766a773cb835607201132e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpia Milanoof Olimpia Milano, Virtus Bologna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked Olimpia Milano | 72c | 2,189$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e29…68e3backed Virtus Bologna | 29c | 1,708$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Virtus Bologna | 29c | 1,705$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.59 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Virtus Bologna | 24c | 1,453$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olimpia Milano | 72c | 1,386$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.03 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Virtus Bologna | 17c | 905.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 78c | 852.94$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Olimpia Milano | 72c | 750$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Olimpia Milano | 74c | 678.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Virtus Bologna | 28c | 592.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.93 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Virtus Bologna | 28c | 583.98$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…0c67backed Olimpia Milano | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +197.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Virtus Bologna | 28c | 542.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…d93abacked Virtus Bologna | 29c | 488.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Olimpia Milano | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Virtus Bologna | 13c | 410.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…2663backed Virtus Bologna | 28c | 355.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Virtus Bologna | 10c | 355$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Virtus Bologna | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Virtus Bologna | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Virtus Bologna | 14c | 216.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Olimpia Milano | 72c | 197.02$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Olimpia Milano | 71c | 197$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Virtus Bologna | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virtus Bologna | 17c | 159.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Olimpia Milano | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Olimpia Milano | 72c | 144.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Virtus Bologna | 26c | 140.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Olimpia Milano | 72c | 135$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Virtus Bologna | 11c | 126.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Virtus Bologna | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Olimpia Milano | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Virtus Bologna | 31c | 105.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Virtus Bologna | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Virtus Bologna | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Virtus Bologna | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Olimpia Milano | 72c | 79.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Virtus Bologna | 16c | 69.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Olimpia Milano | 76c | 68.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Virtus Bologna | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Olimpia Milano | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Virtus Bologna | 27c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Olimpia Milano | 72c | 58.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Olimpia Milano | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Virtus Bologna | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Olimpia Milano | 72c | 38.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Olimpia Milano | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Olimpia Milano | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 27.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…2523backed Olimpia Milano | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Olimpia Milano | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Olimpia Milano | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…e9a9backed Olimpia Milano | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…c22bbacked Olimpia Milano | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…5222backed Olimpia Milano | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.