MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e1633885215ca9f2583a9bf18768570deb43db4d1a08d6417e0b88fb4bcf10b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Chicago Cubs, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 135,193$77,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,969.24 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 45,208$18,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,668.37 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 34,893$15,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,695.97 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…18cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 22,553$10,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,867.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 21,002$9,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,813.36 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.96 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 15,030$6,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,228.24 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Chicago Cubs | 0c | 13,968$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 11,546$7,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,123.07 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 10,728$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,007.54 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 10,551$5,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,566.73 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 8,936$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,395.69 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 7,348$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916.78 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 7,078$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.53 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…2663backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 6,402$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 5,069$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.64 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 4,813$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.35 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 4,774$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 4,459$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.21 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 4,415$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.13 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 4,062$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.25 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 3,898$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.07 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 3,898$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.54 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 3,236$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,850$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.39 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,319$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 2,274$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.4 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,170$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.47 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,934$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.7 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,719$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.99 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,504$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.32 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,503$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.89 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,404$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.09 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,141$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,117$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.61 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,113$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.79 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,103$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.58 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,032$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.26 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 891.07$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.37 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 877.67$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.45 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 764.67$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.95 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 731.05$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.65 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 676.08$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.49 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 667.81$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.3 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 592.44$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.68 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 571.33$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.68 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 571.05$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.79 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 534.25$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.84 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…d6e6backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 530.42$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 516.17$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 463.85$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 449.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.12 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 442.17$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.54 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 438.12$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.35 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 430.05$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 420.84$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.46 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 399.1$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.93 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 397.93$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.86 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 397.72$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 390.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 364.56$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.51 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 350.74$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.77 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…379abacked Chicago Cubs | 11c | 335.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 330$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 316.03$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.28 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 313.91$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 309$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 286.05$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.19 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 272.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 257.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.78 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 252.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…e8afbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 242.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 240$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 233.88$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 218.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 214.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecc…36ddbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 212.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac94…e414backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 208.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 205$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 205$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 203.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 199.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…3074backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 194.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.