TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ecc…36dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+92.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+334.5%+$51.58
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.04
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.89
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+199.4%+$28.38
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.04
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+594.7%+$124.65
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+643.1%+$223.28
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.93
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.02
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$9.21
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.2
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$114.95
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.76
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$14.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$5.07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$11.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.02
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.57
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+274.3%+$88.67
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.35
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.02
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$39.53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$30.93
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+142.9%+$124.13
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$42.88
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Sarasota: Kilian Feldbausch vs Cannon Kingsleybacked Cannon Kingsley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Selena Janicijevicbacked Selena Janicijevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.35
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$45.54
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.71
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+83%+$18.88
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$28.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St Mirren FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.