Other European Leagues · resolved market
St Mirren FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6f0d5a72beb57a7203f1ae1ed40813770ed39bf0aab47ade5b591fb1c574f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,093$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 709.63$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…98ebbacked Over | 51c | 209.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…0adebacked Over | 51c | 205.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a7…6861backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…bb9abacked Under | 49c | 203$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5148…bbeabacked Under | 49c | 201$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80f…0d74backed Under | 49c | 198$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…0ebcbacked Over | 51c | 194.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…c6fabacked Over | 51c | 193.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 28c | 190.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe64…e1ffbacked Under | 49c | 183$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…54e2backed Under | 49c | 183$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…eda3backed Over | 51c | 182.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…a556backed Over | 51c | 180.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4af…3431backed Over | 51c | 176.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…0ab2backed Over | 51c | 172.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fe…0372backed Under | 49c | 172$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…8f6ebacked Over | 51c | 171.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d83…5858backed Under | 49c | 171.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…e3c0backed Over | 51c | 170$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…cbf0backed Under | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe240…c87dbacked Under | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 29c | 156.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 52c | 142.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecc…36ddbacked Over | 28c | 80.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 17c | 68.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 48c | 57.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…96b0backed Over | 52c | 53.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 49.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 37.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…97e4backed Over | 52c | 31.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…139bbacked Over | 51c | 24.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…e64ebacked Over | 50c | 24.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…bf78backed Over | 50c | 24.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…8d31backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c62…7d3bbacked Over | 51c | 23.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…7747backed Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 72c | 22.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…f5c8backed Over | 50c | 22.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3d…ac97backed Over | 50c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…79d2backed Over | 51c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7047…af53backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…39e1backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cc…2192backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…a6f6backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…3dadbacked Under | 49c | 20.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…2d9ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…846cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4a…709bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Under | 75c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 70c | 16.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St Mirren FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Aberdeen FC (-2.5)St Mirren FC won
- St Mirren FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- St Mirren FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.