MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdc1a905c9c1c16ffb8703960eba629e603f5073d69cf63e6e728a49d4a1ba17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 74,996$35,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,747.93 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 21,300$11,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,289 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 16,499$8,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,138.71 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.97 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 8,394$5,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.39 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 7,331$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.64 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 6,972$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.32 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 6,320$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.09 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 5,503$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.52 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 5,325$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.3 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 4,836$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.64 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Texas Rangers | 1c | 4,751$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 3,691$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.64 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 3,179$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.32 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.97 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,966$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.07 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 2,816$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.55 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,600$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.1 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 2,526$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.93 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Rangers | 13c | 2,460$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.76 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 2,223$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.81 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 2,139$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,938$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.49 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 1,851$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.59 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,712$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.36 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Texas Rangers | 21c | 1,679$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,672$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.63 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,645$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.85 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 1,617$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.65 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 1,539$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.32 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,452$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.22 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas Rangers | 21c | 1,364$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.77 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Rangers | 15c | 1,236$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.19 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 1,221$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.18 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,205$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.7 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,195$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.61 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,118$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.19 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 1,035$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.09 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 999.9$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.94 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 968.95$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 934.83$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.64 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 725.33$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.93 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 724.87$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.01 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 717.81$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.8 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 709.78$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.42 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 680.78$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 640.47$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.6 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 622.77$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.07 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 589.3$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 552.7$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.3 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 510.88$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.41 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 489.15$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.21 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 483.83$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.84 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 465.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Texas Rangers | 27c | 456.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 446.22$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.55 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 434.8$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0924…c2d8backed Texas Rangers | 19c | 384.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 383.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.77 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 379.58$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.53 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 384 | 53.9%207 W · 177 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 346.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 339$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 323.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 313.76$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 299.1$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 299$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.46 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 288.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Texas Rangers | 25c | 286.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 280.27$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 270.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe389…02b9backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 257.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 247.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 223.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Texas Rangers | 18c | 221$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…0a8cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 217.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 211.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 209.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 187.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.