MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae392f5617269e134d0053026c35003c818a5196e04c520f67e0c5f175bf713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 14,998$8,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.3 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 11,281$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…18cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 10,673$6,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 9,950$4,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,477.66 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…2663backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 8,959$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 8,845$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.45 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 7,718$4,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.49 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 7,071$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.08 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 6,454$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.18 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 6,070$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.72 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 6,006$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.43 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 5,872$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 5,300$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 5,066$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.27 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 4,642$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.62 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 3,922$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.29 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 3,480$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.78 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 3,290$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.72 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…425abacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,180$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 3,135$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.41 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,997$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.93 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 2,590$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.18 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 2,186$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.17 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,174$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.52 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,036$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.56 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,934$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.3 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,761$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 1,749$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.98 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,740$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 4c | 1,371$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,281$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.33 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,247$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.71 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 1,168$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.27 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 1,111$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,094$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.72 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.24 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,035$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.76 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 999.96$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.04 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 997.51$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.48 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 984.71$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.65 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 945.9$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.9 | 1,875 | 52.1%976 W · 899 L | +52.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 891.83$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.7 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 881.06$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.66 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 837.1$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.37 | 4,107 | 57.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L | +65.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 768.62$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.59 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 760.68$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.55 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 736.77$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.46 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 702.38$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.96 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 687.21$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.98 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 671.08$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.66 | 1,044 | 48.9%511 W · 533 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 647.06$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 603.12$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.5 | 928 | 54%501 W · 427 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 532.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 530$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 513.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.31 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 501.89$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.83 | 854 | 49.3%421 W · 433 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 483.71$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.03 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 465.22$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.92 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…d013backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 465$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 456.2$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 454.84$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 446.78$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 437.41$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.98 | 1,970 | 53.1%1,047 W · 923 L | +45.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 428$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.16 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 427.59$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.09 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 427$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 419$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.69 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 403.35$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.84 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x909c…f3bbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 375.24$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 367.79$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 360.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 336.56$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.82 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 325.82$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 305.52$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 304.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 303.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…775bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 288.6$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 274.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 271.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 259$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 256.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked Chicago Cubs | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 251.7$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 244$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 236.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 235.21$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 223.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 222.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0924…c2d8backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 219.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 219.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.