Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93c29f1a418b4e93ee5239e75bd85aff372931c459630cd03e133f4c4675ea73

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $154,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $161,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,321 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	14c	44,678$6,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,075.16	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	15c	13,360$2,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,062.97	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes	14c	11,575$1,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,641.84	564	10.5%59 W · 505 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e6…82debacked Yes	15c	6,666$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.89	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-4.4wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes	16c	3,125$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	163	19.6%32 W · 131 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes	15c	2,287$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.25	250	31.6%79 W · 171 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes	15c	2,243$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.48	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7507…9ac0backed Yes	16c	1,875$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fa…07c5backed Yes	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd904…e16bbacked Yes	17c	1,200$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	14c	1,190$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.91	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x661c…695bbacked Yes	16c	1,117$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.54	116	65.5%76 W · 40 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes	15c	1,030$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.44	112	18.8%21 W · 91 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…b83abacked Yes	14c	999.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Yes	15c	999.96$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	15c	928$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.2	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe14…d463backed Yes	16c	849.69$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.95	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes	2c	760.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes	15c	670$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	255	37.6%96 W · 159 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x029c…7329backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes	16c	630$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	351	10.8%38 W · 313 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a7…3bb2backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes	16c	612.5$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes	15c	499.87$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.98	246	16.3%40 W · 206 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes	16c	468.75$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18c0…b914backed Yes	17c	466.99$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.39	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	7c	465.76$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.55	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1008…5700backed Yes	18c	441.39$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.45	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Yes	15c	420$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3759…b289backed Yes	15c	407.67$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-72%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf91…844ebacked Yes	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.15per pick	38cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde65…b502backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Yes	16c	326.02$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.16	373	50.1%187 W · 186 L	+45.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+28%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x85ff…c587backed Yes	16c	325$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b28…0ed2backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39cf…6b4dbacked Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52a4…ca72backed Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25cf…3eaabacked Yes	17c	293.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Yes	15c	291.67$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	278	37.8%105 W · 173 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2139…3700backed Yes	15c	267.87$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.18	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x556b…356abacked Yes	18c	239.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4209…b161backed Yes	16c	218.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	67	11.9%8 W · 59 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b22…f295backed Yes	15c	209.8$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.47	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd81…3874backed Yes	16c	206.25$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	121	27.3%33 W · 88 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	405	15.3%62 W · 343 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5022…2b5dbacked Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e5…a830backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd23b…6efabacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bce…3948backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	125	59.2%74 W · 51 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3301…95bfbacked Yes	18c	194.44$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a4…fb64backed Yes	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	77	20.8%16 W · 61 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Yes	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	92	32.6%30 W · 62 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes	16c	182.81$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes	15c	164.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	178	20.8%37 W · 141 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…fb84backed Yes	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	81	27.2%22 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa8c…8a32backed Yes	15c	149.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffaf…64c6backed Yes	15c	140$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaca…23d7backed Yes	15c	140$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	12c	139.93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.24	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	152	28.3%43 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c9e…50eebacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35c7…6021backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	186	25.3%47 W · 139 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	18.1%17 W · 77 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19e…c879backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e9b…1520backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	15.4%8 W · 44 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a1…bb70backed Yes	15c	125.07$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.76	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bc…acf4backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1e…b87fbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes	14c	122.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.15	174	14.4%25 W · 149 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Yes	15c	120$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c4…111bbacked Yes	15c	120$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a57…8f2dbacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a58…1497backed Yes	15c	113.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x785d…230ebacked Yes	17c	112.14$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe69…1cb7backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	27cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aac…4c71backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	75	41.3%31 W · 44 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x433a…38e5backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf273…efe8backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7305…0c7bbacked Yes	15c	110.83$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes	18c	108.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	632	29.3%185 W · 447 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	14c	108.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes	15c	105.27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	132	42.4%56 W · 76 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f9…5399backed Yes	16c	105.09$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	+96%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce1…bf19backed Yes	15c	100.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01a…a222backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c99…b13abacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd704…2af4backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa0…cd7ebacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ba…3043backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d48…197cbacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d94…cee1backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event