Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x831947b963be0b20615accb73c5353127b96a5bf08d6d9898929172d3123350c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 79,003$8,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,788.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 11c | 41,194$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,376.21 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 10c | 29,088$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.21 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 10c | 10,944$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.42 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 12c | 6,920$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 11c | 5,233$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.38 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f0…4d78backed Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 10c | 3,851$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.92 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5d…b20abacked Yes | 12c | 3,822$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 10c | 3,607$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.71 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 10c | 3,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…e917backed Yes | 11c | 3,300$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…b289backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…9ac0backed Yes | 11c | 2,455$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 10c | 2,294$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…395cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,258$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…ab68backed Yes | 10c | 2,050$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…bf33backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,643$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.42 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,455$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 10c | 1,299$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…411abacked Yes | 13c | 1,296$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 11c | 1,182$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 12c | 1,167$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…bef4backed Yes | 11c | 1,121$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 11c | 1,072$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 10c | 1,028$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08af…bb75backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 14c | 920.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fa…07c5backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…d463backed Yes | 12c | 766.42$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Yes | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 12c | 733.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 12c | 653.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe30…6d57backed Yes | 12c | 631.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36e…538fbacked Yes | 11c | 575.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 13c | 551$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 11c | 546.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…b882backed Yes | 14c | 536.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…30d7backed Yes | 10c | 510.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f79…9290backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…9653backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…a7febacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…f51abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…c587backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 12c | 488$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 14c | 478.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 10c | 467.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c0…b914backed Yes | 12c | 466.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…e985backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…ca72backed Yes | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…a859backed Yes | 10c | 428.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Yes | 11c | 409.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…18f0backed Yes | 11c | 394.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b25…39b2backed Yes | 13c | 384$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…9e94backed Yes | 10c | 380$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 10c | 356.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 11c | 354.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…3eaabacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…6ef8backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…6efabacked Yes | 10c | 315$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…d6babacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…f997backed Yes | 10c | 285.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 12c | 276.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437d…6c11backed Yes | 12c | 253.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 14c | 251.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…5ba4backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…fb84backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ab…472bbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes | 10c | 243.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 12c | 233.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…65debacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…1d81backed Yes | 11c | 212$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 11c | 209.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…e2ebbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe69…1cb7backed Yes | 13c | 208.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…1f08backed Yes | 10c | 203.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…c29fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Yes | 12c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.