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Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$330,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c79,003$8,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,788.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes11c41,194$4,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,376.212,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes10c29,088$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.2156410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed Yes10c10,944$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.425322.6%12 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes12c6,920$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes11c5,233$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.381,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f0…4d78backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500110%0 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes10c3,851$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9278317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf5d…b20abacked Yes12c3,822$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.58812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes10c3,607$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.7112325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b0…1a94backed Yes10c3,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35019324.4%47 W · 146 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19de…e917backed Yes11c3,300$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3632722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…b289backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7507…9ac0backed Yes11c2,455$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-78.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes10c2,294$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.458530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f33…395cbacked Yes16c2,258$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb933…ab68backed Yes10c2,050$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054727.7%13 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5161…bf33backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005827.6%16 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes10c1,643$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4213231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes12c1,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes10c1,455$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8725031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes10c1,299$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8856022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7c…411abacked Yes13c1,296$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8550%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes11c1,182$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13015317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes12c1,167$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b68…bef4backed Yes11c1,121$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-54.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes11c1,072$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.961,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes10c1,028$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7617414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e85…9b0bbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+149.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08af…bb75backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick20cpaid-7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes14c920.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12545820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3fa…07c5backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63a7…3bb2backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe14…d463backed Yes12c766.42$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.973948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Yes10c750$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes12c733.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes12c653.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe30…6d57backed Yes12c631.43$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.152050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Yes11c575.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes13c551$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4563035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes11c546.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x852f…b882backed Yes14c536.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc51…30d7backed Yes10c510.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.012128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024233.5%81 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f79…9290backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010541.9%44 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de7…9653backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0026…a7febacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50273.7%1 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-58.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53fd…f51abacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506533.8%22 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ff…c587backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504411.4%5 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508119.8%16 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes12c488$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5616425.6%42 W · 122 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes14c478.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes10c467.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8411218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c0…b914backed Yes12c466.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+48.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52a4…ca72backed Yes10c450$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0b…a859backed Yes10c428.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.834447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9641…55d1backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019428.9%56 W · 138 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Yes11c409.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513345.9%61 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa0e…18f0backed Yes11c394.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b25…39b2backed Yes13c384$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.922630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…9e94backed Yes10c380$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384035%14 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes10c356.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6273626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes11c354.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25cf…3eaabacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe26c…6ef8backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd23b…6efabacked Yes10c315$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57821.8%17 W · 61 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409725.8%25 W · 72 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid+7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0b…d6babacked Yes14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee4…f997backed Yes10c285.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.531910.5%2 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-69.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes12c276.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4532422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x437d…6c11backed Yes12c253.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes14c251.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1917148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512042.5%51 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9b…5ba4backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252528%7 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Yes13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.53724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf8…fb84backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258127.2%22 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ab…472bbacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-78.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes10c243.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.333710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes12c233.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2766745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bf…65debacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30352.9%1 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-81%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf967…69ccbacked Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa425…1d81backed Yes11c212$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.573324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes11c209.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2335714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c73…e2ebbacked Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe69…1cb7backed Yes13c208.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.57911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cab…1f08backed Yes10c203.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…c29fbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c1f…08a6backed Yes12c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.825221.4%54 W · 198 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207722.1%17 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012542.4%53 W · 72 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209418.1%17 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.