TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,455 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes6c40,967$2,328 inLost-$2,327.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes7c5,230$346 inLost-$346.392,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7be7…6f9dbacked Yes8c1,131$90 inLost-$901020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-56.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Yes4c1,000$40 inLost-$403724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost-$9052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost-$5016946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Yes6c583.33$35 inLost-$354522.2%10 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0026…a7febacked Yes7c571.43$40 inLost-$40273.7%1 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-58.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes7c555.79$37 inLost-$378119.8%16 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes5c504.38$27 inLost-$26.631,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ab…472bbacked Yes7c499.99$35 inLost-$351216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-78.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x971b…7a64backed Yes9c447.22$39 inLost-$3930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…60ebbacked Yes9c395.68$34 inLost-$34520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f45…228cbacked Yes6c309.52$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeac0…6723backed Yes7c288.43$20 inLost-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Yes7c287.57$20 inLost-$209418.1%17 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost-$2035714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b38…317cbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost-$201711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf874…7c71backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost-$204920.4%10 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x951a…8c9dbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost-$20419.8%4 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19e…c879backed Yes8c212.5$17 inLost-$172416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x484c…ccb6backed Yes8c191.66$15 inLost-$15.338456%47 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d9…d702backed Yes8c190.63$15 inLost-$15140%0 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.