TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf689…9d83backed Yes16c31,250$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c26,520$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,060.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d82…1b86backed Yes12c9,153$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.531526.7%4 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick11cpaid+45.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes15c4,307$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.0812325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes12c2,520$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.621,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes15c1,863$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.462,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes15c1,498$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.117414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…7f1ebacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick29cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7507…9ac0backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-78.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.76434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes16c986.74$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7225031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes14c645.71$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.221,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c0…1002backed Yes16c550$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885320.8%11 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes13c461.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0656022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Yes15c420$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6313345.9%61 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c65…c8a2backed Yes15c390.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41fc…a467backed Yes15c359.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.872642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes15c340$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5126438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9641…55d1backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019428.9%56 W · 138 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Yes16c322.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.214916.3%8 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Yes15c320$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39cf…6b4dbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505322.6%12 W · 41 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a4…ca72backed Yes15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c7…5a3dbacked Yes15c259.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes15c251.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.717631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes15c246.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3714818.9%28 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick19cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes16c243.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4209…b161backed Yes15c233.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356711.9%8 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes15c230$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.58750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2967…7755backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3445820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x741e…9014backed Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes15c186.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Yes15c186.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284522.2%10 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e1…6735backed Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2580%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…69ccbacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253650%18 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0a40backed Yes16c152.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2c…83afbacked Yes16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243411.8%4 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd23b…6efabacked Yes15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57821.8%17 W · 61 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3301…95bfbacked Yes16c146.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes16c143.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2363229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…c457backed Yes14c142.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.011010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9388…0321backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209418.1%17 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf47d…da66backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208626.7%23 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe69…1cb7backed Yes16c126.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes15c126.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.974411.4%5 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b4c…b0bfbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4808…f10fbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd4f…4ac8backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes15c120.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1418839.9%75 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3955…67f2backed Yes16c118.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes16c114.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.391926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes15c113.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes18c112.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52a…88babacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157938%30 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2841…6f6bbacked Yes15c106.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8c…8a32backed Yes14c105$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71520%3 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x488d…845dbacked Yes15c100.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157015.7%11 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea79…0095backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a3…0abebacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcaa0…cd7ebacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…3d6abacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a4…fb64backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157720.8%16 W · 61 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159232.6%30 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Yes14c96.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5223218.1%42 W · 190 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe993…90ebbacked Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Yes15c93.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143020%6 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e4…8171backed Yes15c93.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick12cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d80…367cbacked Yes15c86.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311818.6%22 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5816…8167backed Yes13c77.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1416920.1%34 W · 135 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Yes16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226835.4%95 W · 173 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c2b…ec21backed Yes16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…4a1ebacked Yes15c71.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe004…a97ebacked Yes15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb92…bb30backed Yes15c65.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027940.5%113 W · 166 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e2…02abbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b9d…ea44backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17a2…4becbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd87f…0935backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf98…a1ebbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5138…3d13backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb862…aee4backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3189…c87cbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-78.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef7e…de6dbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.