Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06283206b4f93b9ab9c5205eb47af16cce5c2ef97a4013f4e27df6956db7184
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf689…9d83backed Yes | 16c | 31,250$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 26,520$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed Yes | 12c | 9,153$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.53 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 15c | 4,307$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.08 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 12c | 2,520$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.62 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 1,863$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.46 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 15c | 1,498$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.1 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…7f1ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…9ac0backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…1e89backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 16c | 986.74$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 14c | 645.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c0…1002backed Yes | 16c | 550$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 13c | 461.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Yes | 15c | 420$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…c8a2backed Yes | 15c | 390.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…a467backed Yes | 15c | 359.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 15c | 340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Yes | 16c | 322.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Yes | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…6b4dbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…ca72backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…5a3dbacked Yes | 15c | 259.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes | 15c | 251.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Yes | 15c | 246.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 148 | 18.9%28 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes | 16c | 243.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 15c | 230$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…7755backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…9014backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 15c | 186.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…bed6backed Yes | 15c | 186.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e1…6735backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0a40backed Yes | 16c | 152.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…6efabacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…95bfbacked Yes | 16c | 146.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 16c | 143.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…c457backed Yes | 14c | 142.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…0321backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…da66backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe69…1cb7backed Yes | 16c | 126.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes | 15c | 126.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…b0bfbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4808…f10fbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4f…4ac8backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Yes | 15c | 120.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…67f2backed Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes | 16c | 114.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 18c | 112.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…88babacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…6f6bbacked Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8c…8a32backed Yes | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 15c | 100.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…0095backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…0abebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…cd7ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…3d6abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 20.8%16 W · 61 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…6be3backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 14c | 96.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…90ebbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…d2d8backed Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…8171backed Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 13c | 77.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2b…ec21backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…4a1ebacked Yes | 15c | 71.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…a97ebacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb92…bb30backed Yes | 15c | 65.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e2…02abbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…ea44backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…4becbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd87f…0935backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a1ebbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…3d13backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…aee4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…c87cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…de6dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.