TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$276,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c69,000$6,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,148.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes12c35,507$4,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,190.172,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes11c13,800$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed Yes11c4,740$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.095322.6%12 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes12c4,061$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c5…eab5backed Yes12c2,395$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.371020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7507…9ac0backed Yes13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-78.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes11c1,952$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7478317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb933…ab68backed Yes11c1,810$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.14727.7%13 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5161…bf33backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005827.6%16 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes1c1,522$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.71952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd130…02a3backed Yes12c1,267$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes13c1,078$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18021542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Yes11c985.08$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104540%18 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa78…2a88backed Yes11c965.4$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x029c…7329backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddcb…1815backed Yes11c895.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f6…525bbacked Yes12c890.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x451d…e70abacked Yes12c858.08$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fa…07c5backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c24…8772backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes12c803.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.437018.6%13 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b07…3978backed Yes12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9635110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6c…3eacbacked Yes12c793.7$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.92330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e8…2911backed Yes12c682.83$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes13c676.92$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Yes12c666.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x714c…c449backed Yes12c637.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes11c627.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0856022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde01…a938backed Yes12c582.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.866440.6%26 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd333…0bb5backed Yes12c564.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Yes12c506.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0918839.9%75 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes14c478.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes16c468.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1150833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x18c0…b914backed Yes12c466.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+48.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…ea73backed Yes11c450$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b84…4c39backed Yes23c437.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No80c433.54$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.821,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f95…17a8backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013345.9%61 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x772e…a81fbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde65…b502backed Yes12c408.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e2…aab7backed Yes12c400.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fe…64f3backed Yes13c369.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4208…13febacked Yes17c354.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30f9…5399backed Yes17c352.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid+96%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fde…e035backed Yes12c350$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+71.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes13c346$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.987432.4%24 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022324.2%54 W · 169 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb83…ea2ebacked Yes12c324.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405318.9%10 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1746…5614backed Yes11c320.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.27425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes12c319.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6963035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes12c319.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2925031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes12c308.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3719643.4%85 W · 111 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa425…1d81backed Yes12c306$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.533324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Yes20c300$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3932733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5911…909cbacked Yes16c297.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.313847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe30…6d57backed Yes11c292.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.132050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes11c270$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.745820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d8…2e25backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307636.8%28 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…cf0cbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes12c249$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1213231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a51…e17dbacked Yes11c248$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.281233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-48%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x607e…a0dbbacked Yes11c243.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f30…87d6backed Yes11c217.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9250%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes12c216.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264411.4%5 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffaf…64c6backed Yes11c210$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.16841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512042.5%51 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes12c201.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2366745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc290…2e06backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes13c195.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517820.8%37 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015228.3%43 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb7…c02cbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d8…c0e6backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209418.1%17 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19e…c879backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2006…154cbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20170%0 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4010…4d6dbacked Yes12c173.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec7…1ee2backed Yes12c168.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ed…504ebacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74b…4e15backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4a…c29fbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x014f…8b4dbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8855…0557backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20869.3%8 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207722.1%17 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee4…f997backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201910.5%2 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-69.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes9c159.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.012,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Yes11c154.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437d…6c11backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.