Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a105e3f25c9e1a48861c6532d5a9744f42eed5ade7d38db6e744b9a69dca776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 69,000$6,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 35,507$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.17 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 13,800$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 11c | 4,740$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.09 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 12c | 4,061$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c5…eab5backed Yes | 12c | 2,395$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…9ac0backed Yes | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 11c | 1,952$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.74 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…ab68backed Yes | 11c | 1,810$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…bf33backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,522$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…02a3backed Yes | 12c | 1,267$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 13c | 1,078$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Yes | 11c | 985.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…2a88backed Yes | 11c | 965.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029c…7329backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddcb…1815backed Yes | 11c | 895.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…525bbacked Yes | 12c | 890.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x451d…e70abacked Yes | 12c | 858.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fa…07c5backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…8772backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes | 12c | 803.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b07…3978backed Yes | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6c…3eacbacked Yes | 12c | 793.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e8…2911backed Yes | 12c | 682.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 13c | 676.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Yes | 12c | 666.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…c449backed Yes | 12c | 637.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 11c | 627.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…a938backed Yes | 12c | 582.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…0bb5backed Yes | 12c | 564.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Yes | 12c | 506.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 14c | 478.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 16c | 468.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18c0…b914backed Yes | 12c | 466.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…ea73backed Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…4c39backed Yes | 23c | 437.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 80c | 433.54$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…17a8backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…a81fbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde65…b502backed Yes | 12c | 408.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…aab7backed Yes | 12c | 400.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…64f3backed Yes | 13c | 369.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…13febacked Yes | 17c | 354.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…5399backed Yes | 17c | 352.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +96%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…e035backed Yes | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 13c | 346$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…ea2ebacked Yes | 12c | 324.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…5614backed Yes | 11c | 320.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 12c | 319.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 12c | 319.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 12c | 308.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…1d81backed Yes | 12c | 306$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…909cbacked Yes | 16c | 297.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe30…6d57backed Yes | 11c | 292.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 11c | 270$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d8…2e25backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…cf0cbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 12c | 249$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…e17dbacked Yes | 11c | 248$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607e…a0dbbacked Yes | 11c | 243.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f30…87d6backed Yes | 11c | 217.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes | 12c | 216.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…64c6backed Yes | 11c | 210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 12c | 201.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…238abacked Yes | 13c | 195.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 20.8%37 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…c02cbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…c0e6backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19e…c879backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2006…154cbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…4d6dbacked Yes | 12c | 173.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…1ee2backed Yes | 12c | 168.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…504ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…c29fbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014f…8b4dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…0557backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 9.3%8 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…f997backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 159.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Yes | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437d…6c11backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.