TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$253,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0177…01d6backed Yes0c86,425$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107832.1%25 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c49,250$6,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,793.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes5c16,732$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.642,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes67c9,241$6,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,226.1139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No70c7,880$5,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.994,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb933…ab68backed Yes6c4,460$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.194727.7%13 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed Yes8c4,127$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.175916.9%10 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No51c3,414$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.5148438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes5c2,163$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5005…23febacked Yes1c1,729$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.25185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes15c1,689$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.277018.6%13 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No73c1,669$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.142,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No28c1,500$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.941,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…1762backed Yes7c1,471$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007220.8%15 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No56c1,267$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.6919939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5161…bf33backed Yes5c1,079$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505827.6%16 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes63c1,070$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.9523637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54c1…021cbacked Yes53c946.88$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…8586backed Yes3c849.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f9…5399backed Yes63c807.61$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid+96%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf708…f235backed Yes11c805.95$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.811513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99b7…fd89backed Yes7c759.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50170%0 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes10c733.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes35c721.53$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.411,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes4c700$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.324616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf6…569abacked Yes15c671.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No56c581.51$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.772,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed No39c556.28$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.2610855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ab…472bbacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-78.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.545820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7450…ec09backed Yes64c471.03$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a82…30aebacked No79c460$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+113.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3759…b289backed Yes13c454.31$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x817a…389ebacked Yes5c443.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.032035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f69…63c8backed Yes5c434.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-64.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes4c418.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7525031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Yes6c402.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf759…faa7backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204719.1%9 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…e315backed Yes3c380.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+85.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488d…845dbacked Yes4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157015.7%11 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes22c365.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.083,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbded…156ebacked Yes14c363.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50229.1%2 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-82.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No60c354.63$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.842,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes8c339.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes6c338.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x444b…163cbacked Yes15c331.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d80…367cbacked Yes4c325$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311818.6%22 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No21c294.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…a074backed Yes79c293.2$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.365858.6%34 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked No15c288.65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8920850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb44a…51a7backed Yes7c276.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030732.9%101 W · 206 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b3…0c0ebacked Yes6c267.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aac…4c71backed Yes5c260$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1380%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d95…ed84backed Yes77c259.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f6…9404backed Yes78c256.91$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd3…453cbacked Yes19c254.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66f4…9c4cbacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109231.5%29 W · 63 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5911…909cbacked Yes69c212.41$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.613847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8514…e293backed Yes14c210.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Yes76c210.36$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16022445.5%102 W · 122 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015228.3%43 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Yes61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12232733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa32…99a6backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017945.3%81 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01d3…4f06backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8855…0557backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10869.3%8 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe46d…09fabacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed Yes9c199.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.672924.1%7 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+155.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes10c199.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0132422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Yes51c194.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.881127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-52.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed No16c192.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4928964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed No76c188.4$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1120186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x188b…a645backed Yes12c170.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.331346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f6…8cf2backed Yes22c170.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x195d…0a8bbacked Yes15c169.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254839.6%19 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No65c161.74$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.262,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c1f…08a6backed Yes12c160.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4725221.4%54 W · 198 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6290…d7c1backed Yes63c160$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes7c159.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.563229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…0be0backed Yes30c152.11$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…cf0cbacked Yes14c146.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Yes25c146.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.56753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c3a…6db5backed Yes13c144.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.13147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-87.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ba1…8eeebacked Yes14c143.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204122%9 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ff…c587backed Yes15c131.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204411.4%5 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb938…08acbacked Yes11c130$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.171546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb407…c1bebacked Yes52c129.86$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.387041.4%29 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0026…a7febacked Yes14c128.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18273.7%1 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-58.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9425…0b83backed No26c127.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.723053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x271a…c75abacked Yes13c127.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes14c118$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8745740.3%184 W · 273 L-28.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Yes17c114.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes50c110.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9927034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No59c109.52$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8534554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a96…a376backed Yes14c109.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes65c107.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7039752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe993…90ebbacked Yes14c107.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…985dbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.