Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd20a89699b8c4a27be04399d56ac2fa50707a5b1435fcd1a1c908eebafc37964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0177…01d6backed Yes | 0c | 86,425$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 49,250$6,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,793.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 5c | 16,732$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.64 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 67c | 9,241$6,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,226.11 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 7,880$5,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.99 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…ab68backed Yes | 6c | 4,460$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.19 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f8…2062backed Yes | 8c | 4,127$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.17 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 51c | 3,414$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.51 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,163$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…23febacked Yes | 1c | 1,729$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes | 15c | 1,689$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.27 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 73c | 1,669$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.14 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.94 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…1762backed Yes | 7c | 1,471$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 56c | 1,267$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.69 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…bf33backed Yes | 5c | 1,079$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,070$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.95 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c1…021cbacked Yes | 53c | 946.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed Yes | 3c | 849.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…5399backed Yes | 63c | 807.61$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +96%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf708…f235backed Yes | 11c | 805.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b7…fd89backed Yes | 7c | 759.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 10c | 733.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 35c | 721.53$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.41 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 4c | 700$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…569abacked Yes | 15c | 671.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 581.51$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.77 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed No | 39c | 556.28$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.26 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ab…472bbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…ec09backed Yes | 64c | 471.03$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a82…30aebacked No | 79c | 460$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…b289backed Yes | 13c | 454.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…389ebacked Yes | 5c | 443.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…63c8backed Yes | 5c | 434.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 4c | 418.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 6c | 402.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…faa7backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…e315backed Yes | 3c | 380.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 365.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbded…156ebacked Yes | 14c | 363.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 354.63$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 8c | 339.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444b…163cbacked Yes | 15c | 331.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 4c | 325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 294.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.35 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…a074backed Yes | 79c | 293.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.36 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 15c | 288.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.89 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…51a7backed Yes | 7c | 276.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 307 | 32.9%101 W · 206 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Yes | 6c | 267.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…4c71backed Yes | 5c | 260$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…ed84backed Yes | 77c | 259.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f6…9404backed Yes | 78c | 256.91$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…453cbacked Yes | 19c | 254.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…9c4cbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…909cbacked Yes | 69c | 212.41$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8514…e293backed Yes | 14c | 210.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Yes | 76c | 210.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…99a6backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…4f06backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…0557backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 9.3%8 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…09fabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Yes | 9c | 199.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 10c | 199.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…d3f9backed Yes | 51c | 194.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 16c | 192.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 76c | 188.4$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…a645backed Yes | 12c | 170.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f6…8cf2backed Yes | 22c | 170.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…0a8bbacked Yes | 15c | 169.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 161.74$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Yes | 12c | 160.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6290…d7c1backed Yes | 63c | 160$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 7c | 159.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…0be0backed Yes | 30c | 152.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…cf0cbacked Yes | 14c | 146.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 25c | 146.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…6db5backed Yes | 13c | 144.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…8eeebacked Yes | 14c | 143.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…c587backed Yes | 15c | 131.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb938…08acbacked Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…c1bebacked Yes | 52c | 129.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…a7febacked Yes | 14c | 128.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…0b83backed No | 26c | 127.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x271a…c75abacked Yes | 13c | 127.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 14c | 118$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Yes | 17c | 114.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 50c | 110.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 59c | 109.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…a376backed Yes | 14c | 109.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…90ebbacked Yes | 14c | 107.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…985dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.