TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c21,176$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes29c7,990$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.2439644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes4c6,199$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.972,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes4c4,207$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes4c3,778$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.341,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes5c3,050$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5547.4%4 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+123.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes2c2,823$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.46646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes4c2,467$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.956410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1494…22d0backed Yes5c2,375$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.93119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d9…6ae6backed Yes2c2,010$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Yes5c2,000$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041323.1%3 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick8cpaid+196.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes24c1,813$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9821542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No74c1,641$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.1248438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Yes2c1,640$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8200%0 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2a…ce84backed Yes34c1,488$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5161…bf33backed Yes4c1,426$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.795827.6%16 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Yes4c999.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.99147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes5c876.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.062,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No68c818.79$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.212,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x195d…0a8bbacked No69c756.97$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.974839.6%19 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39cf…6b4dbacked Yes4c747.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305322.6%12 W · 41 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes25c653.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.311,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Yes2c618$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…1f08backed Yes4c536.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes4c534.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.483,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05fa…c771backed Yes5c529.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.194835.4%17 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ed…504ebacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Yes5c455.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes3c446.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.211,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes5c373.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1821226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No66c352.63$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.131,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes4c350.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes26c339.46$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.150833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc74b…4e15backed Yes6c333.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Yes5c329.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.14137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No78c326.87$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.422,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7836539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked No70c299.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906942%29 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1f…08a6backed Yes20c260$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3225221.4%54 W · 198 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a3e…ab88backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437d…6c11backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584e…932bbacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aac…4c71backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd3…453cbacked Yes7c243.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed No55c239.39$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7310855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes22c228.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b84…4c39backed Yes22c228.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes13c218.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2863229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked No76c213.19$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1113844.2%61 W · 77 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3532733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x478a…f98abacked Yes5c199.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ad…dcacbacked Yes25c199.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503917.9%7 W · 32 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-70.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6390…8833backed Yes26c191.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de7…9653backed Yes26c188.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Yes26c181.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.123724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a13…588fbacked Yes22c169.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.467948.1%38 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x951a…8c9dbacked Yes12c167.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20419.8%4 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb37b…3345backed Yes12c167.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205827.6%16 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c162.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.132,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x63a1…bf89backed Yes19c156.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+50.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb56…2bc6backed Yes13c155.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes13c150.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20917.7%7 W · 84 L-9.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-64.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes36c146.73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2123637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb407…c1bebacked Yes22c137.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307041.4%29 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd81…3874backed Yes13c125.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712127.3%33 W · 88 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes31c120.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9120646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30f9…5399backed Yes25c117.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid+96%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda31…6e6ebacked Yes26c116.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes43c115.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Yes22c113.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.757722.1%17 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes16c113$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.561,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9981…2d71backed Yes14c110.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c04…7dcabacked No76c110$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.14542.2%19 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-40.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes9c107.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.072,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f62…8709backed No77c104.3$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+132.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed91…fbeabacked No76c91.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.861855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7810…5ef1backed Yes22c91.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-84.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8855…0557backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20869.3%8 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes21c89.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1935714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5911…909cbacked Yes23c85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.483847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0026…a7febacked Yes22c83.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.39273.7%1 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-58.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bab…2098backed Yes24c81.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f5…426ebacked Yes28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.166535.4%23 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6290…d7c1backed Yes25c78.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…4760backed Yes27c74.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205030%15 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c65…c8a2backed Yes22c71.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe993…90ebbacked Yes22c68.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4941…b03cbacked No72c61.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5710166.3%67 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd4f…4ac8backed Yes22c59.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3a…d061backed Yes26c56.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d42…5574backed No76c55.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b6b…2dcebacked Yes24c49.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6140%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae4…a074backed Yes43c48.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215858.6%34 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b61…38dcbacked Yes44c44.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No72c44.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4734554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a23…f8d9backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99ab…65a1backed No80c37.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.54850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef7d…8deabacked No75c36.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.051154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed No75c29.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4710849.1%53 W · 55 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.