TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,494 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c13,815$602 inLost-$601.78,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes2c12,657$283 inLost-$282.692,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88e9…a226backed Yes2c4,086$96 inLost-$95.644615.2%7 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed Yes7c3,610$270 inLost-$2705916.9%10 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes4c3,208$125 inLost-$12545820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes3c1,367$46 inLost-$45.771,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes2c1,250$25 inLost-$2553514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Yes6c1,170$69 inLost-$69.0314544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes12c1,138$138 inLost-$138.3845428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes3c854.68$25 inLost-$24.7921542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes2c806.33$16 inLost-$15.7625031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes2c611.78$12 inLost-$12.2456022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes20c519.71$104 inLost-$104.21,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf98…a1ebbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost-$10825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a82…30aebacked No79c470$372 inWon+$98.4887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+113.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes4c420.34$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes5c416.18$22 inLost-$22.281,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes6c353.24$22 inLost-$21.634,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes13c352.99$47 inLost-$474216.7%7 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-75.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd232…b817backed Yes4c346.76$14 inLost-$14.313144.3%58 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4c…2961backed Yes12c178.52$22 inLost-$21.781020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de7…9653backed Yes12c163.93$20 inLost-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Yes12c160.25$20 inLost-$2013830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1759…f905backed Yes8c127.77$10 inLost-$10.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No69c74.42$51 inWon+$23.2580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.