Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1afb2140b124491e8b5aff162eded645d17a643a731e0531f04a554ab2258e31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 11,794$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 3,725$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.28 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 9c | 3,475$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.72 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 1,479$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…1e89backed Yes | 11c | 1,307$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 10c | 1,010$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5c…9353backed Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 12c | 649$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ab…472bbacked Yes | 11c | 607.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 8c | 605.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Yes | 12c | 603.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 10c | 576.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 10c | 499.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 26.8%38 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 10c | 465.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…6b4dbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b28…0ed2backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…ca72backed Yes | 11c | 409.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 12c | 283.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 11c | 258.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7305…0c7bbacked Yes | 11c | 115.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8c…8a32backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f840backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 11c | 92.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay?No won
- Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.