TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c53,310$8,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,190.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes15c6,442$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.336526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes15c5,475$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.197631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes14c4,878$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.917114.1%10 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes15c4,734$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.911,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes15c4,592$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68378317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes15c4,388$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.332,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes22c3,788$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.921,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed Yes14c3,020$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.8922247.7%106 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No67c2,000$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67011249.1%55 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5335…2df4backed Yes40c1,734$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes14c1,500$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21717414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes15c1,417$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3932422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes14c1,210$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.421429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a72…be4fbacked Yes37c1,089$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002528%7 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes25c991.68$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0450833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes13c900$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Yes16c745.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Yes15c686.8$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0210915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006942%29 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006630.3%20 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01d3…4f06backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63a7…3bb2backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes14c648.97$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.867131%22 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f79…9290backed Yes16c627.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010541.9%44 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd9…8843backed Yes15c600$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.461040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…f574backed Yes15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes15c589.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9135110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes30c585.75$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.262,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes16c535.83$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.11,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759730.9%30 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd963…fd5abacked Yes14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014640.4%59 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes15c497.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.610815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No66c455.76$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.848855.7%49 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes37c402.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015536.8%57 W · 98 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes14c387.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2856022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c7…3c77backed Yes16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607011.4%8 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb136…c3cabacked Yes15c366.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes15c365$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7545820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508119.8%16 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…379cbacked Yes16c336.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556150.8%31 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4209…b161backed Yes15c336.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.986711.9%8 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014329.4%42 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b1…e789backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017053.5%91 W · 79 L+14.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2a…0ad4backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-84.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023218.1%42 W · 190 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6846…abffbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505034%17 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8df7…6d8abacked Yes16c319.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes30c312.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8424146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes16c300$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25cf…3eaabacked Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe26c…6ef8backed Yes16c284.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Yes15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No65c263.96$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.391,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44c…9942backed Yes15c258.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x305f…2d33backed Yes14c249.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Yes15c240$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367236.1%26 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes15c230$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.510314.6%15 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd578…4d58backed Yes16c225$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…80a6backed Yes16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Yes16c212.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3415227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba4…6a8cbacked Yes15c206.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31339.1%3 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Yes16c205.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.348025%20 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa504…c842backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307651.3%39 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283324.2%8 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb37b…3345backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305827.6%16 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…7a35backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…69ccbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e72…0b33backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011414.9%17 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…a524backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304731.9%15 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb902…06d8backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304564.4%29 W · 16 L+8.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013345.9%61 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9006…db4ebacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf47d…da66backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288626.7%23 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe993…90ebbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf289…f1eebacked Yes15c197.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab1…dcecbacked No65c196.08$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.631931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ef…5f26backed Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5e8…39d3backed Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304526.7%12 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d4…5ee8backed Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254418.2%8 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes16c176.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.863229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304513.3%6 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c02…0f24backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306241.9%26 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Yes38c171.86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a62…3df0backed Yes16c164.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.877630.3%23 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes17c164.07$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8263544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.