Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d80e59a595606670166aceba6d6f7dc5a4e7b3b2cae88e6956941e98a5c3e34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 53,310$8,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,190.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 15c | 6,442$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.33 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes | 15c | 5,475$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.19 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 14c | 4,878$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.91 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 4,734$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.91 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 15c | 4,592$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 4,388$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.33 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 3,788$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.92 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Yes | 14c | 3,020$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.89 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…2df4backed Yes | 40c | 1,734$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,417$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.39 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 14c | 1,210$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…be4fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,089$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 25c | 991.68$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.04 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 13c | 900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…e985backed Yes | 16c | 745.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 15c | 686.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71cbbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…4f06backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 14c | 648.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f79…9290backed Yes | 16c | 627.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…8843backed Yes | 15c | 600$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…f574backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 15c | 589.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 30c | 585.75$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.26 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 16c | 535.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 97 | 30.9%30 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…fd5abacked Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 15c | 497.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 66c | 455.76$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 37c | 402.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 14c | 387.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…3c77backed Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb136…c3cabacked Yes | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 15c | 365$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…379cbacked Yes | 16c | 336.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 15c | 336.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 29.4%42 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…e789backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +14.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2a…0ad4backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…abffbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…6d8abacked Yes | 16c | 319.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes | 30c | 312.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…08f1backed Yes | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…3eaabacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…6ef8backed Yes | 16c | 284.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…bf86backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 65c | 263.96$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44c…9942backed Yes | 15c | 258.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305f…2d33backed Yes | 14c | 249.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Yes | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes | 15c | 230$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…4d58backed Yes | 16c | 225$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…80a6backed Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 16c | 212.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…6a8cbacked Yes | 15c | 206.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Yes | 16c | 205.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa504…c842backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…3345backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…7a35backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e72…0b33backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…a524backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…06d8backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +8.8wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…db4ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…da66backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…90ebbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf289…f1eebacked Yes | 15c | 197.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…dcecbacked No | 65c | 196.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…5f26backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…39d3backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…5ee8backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 16c | 176.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…0f24backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Yes | 38c | 171.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…3df0backed Yes | 16c | 164.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 17c | 164.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?Yes won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.