TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes22c70,000$15,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,399.9917034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c38,018$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,610.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes12c9,695$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.897114.1%10 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No78c7,753$6,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No78c2,890$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.7174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes12c2,859$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.822,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes11c1,862$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.11,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a72…be4fbacked Yes31c1,623$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002528%7 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No79c1,580$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.41,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes22c1,274$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.27131%22 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes21c1,125$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.971,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked No69c950.4$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…ffc3backed Yes12c916.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11080%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes22c906.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No72c844$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.733,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5335…2df4backed Yes29c844$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006942%29 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…0598backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009426.6%25 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d3…4f06backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d33…80a6backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9142…b355backed Yes12c673.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.821735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b28…0ed2backed Yes12c650$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784126.8%11 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ca…f574backed Yes12c583.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2a…0ad4backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-84.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020911%23 W · 186 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes8c394.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3698134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Yes13c388.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023218.1%42 W · 190 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Yes23c383.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.317435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes27c351.88$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4863544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe993…90ebbacked Yes12c316$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.267832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9006…db4ebacked Yes29c315.14$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.393026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes14c309.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4421226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Yes12c265.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9137350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013329.3%39 W · 94 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…a524backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304731.9%15 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes14c249$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8613231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a62…3df0backed Yes12c240$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87630.3%23 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes10c232$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8517414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x772e…a81fbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x705e…a25fbacked Yes13c228.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.951513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x816c…ac2cbacked Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252035%7 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6563…9fc3backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254221.4%9 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Yes29c203.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203324.2%8 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0f…e8dfbacked Yes17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4b…c81ebacked Yes20c198.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.327731.2%24 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4209…b161backed Yes11c182$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.026711.9%8 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d94…cee1backed Yes11c182$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.023710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No66c178.9$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.832,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ef…36d7backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e3…881abacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016343.6%71 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e72…0b33backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ef…5f26backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41f0…e406backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010918.3%20 W · 89 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b84…bbabbacked Yes13c153.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010645.3%48 W · 58 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda78…393abacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No68c153.7$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No75c152.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.12,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a6…2923backed Yes12c151.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.155558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc739…2356backed Yes18c147.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.570%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes14c146.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012615.1%19 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No79c144.09$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.851,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08bd…9526backed Yes18c133.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe6a…ac9bbacked Yes20c128.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253321.2%7 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524825.8%64 W · 184 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512036.7%44 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…f235backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…fbb5backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510144.6%45 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes11c119.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.191,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9296…f9abbacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ee…11d6backed Yes13c114.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes11c105$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5563035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d4…0e06backed Yes12c104.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.556334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Yes15c103.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked Yes12c102.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3323944.8%107 W · 132 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…d6a5backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd22…49e2backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114017.5%7 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b30…f3c7backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-73.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215043.3%65 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfad…956ebacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f0…3a6dbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121816.7%3 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f97…b2f4backed Yes12c97.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.654156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacd5…8088backed Yes23c91.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.983545.7%16 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No71c87.73$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7650833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3301…95bfbacked Yes12c87.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99da…7548backed Yes22c81.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe941…13afbacked Yes23c78.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Yes17c71.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1739043.6%170 W · 220 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c63…85cebacked Yes22c66.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.661330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes19c65.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.192,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xce03…d9a4backed Yes24c58.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe152…512cbacked Yes24c57.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ec…85b6backed Yes23c56.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…f60cbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.