Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c46ee0f32049736768f352d27683c014f526ddca7a49ea3f587ae917d301954
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 22c | 70,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,399.99 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 38,018$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,610.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 12c | 9,695$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.89 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 7,753$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 78c | 2,890$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.71 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 2,859$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.82 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,862$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.1 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…be4fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,623$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 79c | 1,580$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.4 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 22c | 1,274$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.2 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 1,125$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.97 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked No | 69c | 950.4$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.68 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…ffc3backed Yes | 12c | 916.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes | 22c | 906.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 844$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.73 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…2df4backed Yes | 29c | 844$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71cbbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…0598backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…4f06backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…80a6backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9142…b355backed Yes | 12c | 673.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b28…0ed2backed Yes | 12c | 650$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…f574backed Yes | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2a…0ad4backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 8c | 394.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 13c | 388.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Yes | 23c | 383.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 27c | 351.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…90ebbacked Yes | 12c | 316$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…db4ebacked Yes | 29c | 315.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 14c | 309.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yes | 12c | 265.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 29.3%39 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…a524backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 14c | 249$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…3df0backed Yes | 12c | 240$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 10c | 232$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…a81fbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705e…a25fbacked Yes | 13c | 228.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816c…ac2cbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6563…9fc3backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Yes | 29c | 203.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…e8dfbacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4b…c81ebacked Yes | 20c | 198.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 11c | 182$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d94…cee1backed Yes | 11c | 182$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 66c | 178.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…36d7backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e3…881abacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e72…0b33backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…5f26backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…e406backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…bbabbacked Yes | 13c | 153.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…393abacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 153.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 75c | 152.14$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…2923backed Yes | 12c | 151.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…2356backed Yes | 18c | 147.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes | 14c | 146.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 79c | 144.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08bd…9526backed Yes | 18c | 133.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6a…ac9bbacked Yes | 20c | 128.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…f235backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…fbb5backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 11c | 119.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9296…f9abbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ee…11d6backed Yes | 13c | 114.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 11c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…0e06backed Yes | 12c | 104.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 15c | 103.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…0aedbacked Yes | 12c | 102.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 239 | 44.8%107 W · 132 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…49e2backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…f3c7backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 150 | 43.3%65 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…956ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3a6dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f97…b2f4backed Yes | 12c | 97.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd5…8088backed Yes | 23c | 91.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 71c | 87.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…95bfbacked Yes | 12c | 87.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99da…7548backed Yes | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…13afbacked Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Yes | 17c | 71.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c63…85cebacked Yes | 22c | 66.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 65.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…d9a4backed Yes | 24c | 58.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe152…512cbacked Yes | 24c | 57.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…85b6backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…f60cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?Yes won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.