Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa718ed7c6e8c6f5a56c99ca6d30ca90ca8fecc342eb578047b3d506fe96c12

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $141,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $122,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,365 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x19de…e917backed Yes	6c	32,290$1,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,905.1	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	+21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	8c	26,715$2,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,026.91	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes	4c	5,397$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.91	174	14.4%25 W · 149 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	8c	5,111$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.81	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	6c	4,263$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.05	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Yes	5c	4,000$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	4c	2,375$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.72	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…ca73backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	4c	1,849$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.95	405	15.3%62 W · 343 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes	6c	1,706$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.83	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes	12c	1,682$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes	5c	1,465$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.64	560	22.7%127 W · 433 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	5c	1,300$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.31	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes	21c	1,275$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	1c	1,056$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1636…2e05backed Yes	5c	980$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes	23c	960.7$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	286	26.9%77 W · 209 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes	24c	901.64$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	172	11%19 W · 153 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	73	27.4%20 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes	11c	608.05$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	212	26.9%57 W · 155 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6390…8833backed Yes	7c	556.43$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.95	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes	10c	555.55$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.56	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes	5c	540$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes	5c	509.27$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	632	29.3%185 W · 447 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	366	31.1%114 W · 252 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	4c	458.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.87	512	28.9%148 W · 364 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes	23c	427.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	118	28.8%34 W · 84 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ee…4e60backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	30.1%22 W · 51 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab07…1291backed Yes	6c	302.6$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	250	18.4%46 W · 204 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x087a…f053backed Yes	8c	280.78$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x488d…845dbacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	70	15.7%11 W · 59 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3852…e3a8backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1606…9a7cbacked Yes	21c	239.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No	77c	235.34$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.84	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf63a…d769backed Yes	5c	231.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.11	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x941b…8896backed Yes	5c	220$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	119	47.9%57 W · 62 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8392…e3a2backed Yes	7c	219.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	6c	200.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0251…a857backed Yes	24c	200.26$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.89	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…fc85backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…b5b3backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f7…c709backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2e…1473backed Yes	6c	183.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a0…4309backed Yes	7c	174.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	78c	171.28$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.36	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Yes	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes	21c	151.48$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf967…69ccbacked Yes	23c	148.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	78c	145.96$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.11	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	24c	133$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.92	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x195d…0a8bbacked Yes	24c	126.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x35c7…6021backed Yes	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	186	25.3%47 W · 139 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05fa…c771backed Yes	23c	106.38$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75fb…a9ecbacked Yes	16c	80.18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.37per pick	38cpaid	+91%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	283	26.1%74 W · 209 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed No	77c	78.26$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	109	42.2%46 W · 63 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c7a…3cd6backed Yes	23c	65.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes	24c	62.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	181	28.2%51 W · 130 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b54…920fbacked No	79c	39.18$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.27	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?Yes won
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event