NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9008d6fe05481303ffd0a63a7317280fb004653061149cdc593c4acae1f5b515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,155,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,155,243 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Bulls | 52c | 307,416$159,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,851.43 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 51c | 128,931$65,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,754.64 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Lakers | 48c | 117,652$56,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,390.44 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls | 52c | 116,924$60,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,800.35 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 52c | 110,439$57,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,424.82 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Lakers | 48c | 89,486$42,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,532.91 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Bulls | 51c | 86,888$44,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,243.88 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 49c | 75,000$36,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,612.61 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Lakers | 49c | 73,785$36,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,630.6 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 48c | 72,109$34,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,305.85 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 48c | 43,578$21,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,561.91 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Lakers | 48c | 34,654$16,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,020.07 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Lakers | 49c | 30,221$14,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,412.52 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bulls | 52c | 30,000$15,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,596.56 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Bulls | 52c | 28,800$14,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,975.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Lakers | 48c | 27,020$12,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,050.41 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Lakers | 48c | 24,536$11,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,760.42 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Lakers | 49c | 24,007$11,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,313.66 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Lakers | 49c | 23,562$11,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,016.9 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls | 51c | 21,344$10,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,885.68 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.33 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Bulls | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.75 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bulls | 52c | 19,789$10,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,288.28 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Lakers | 48c | 19,500$9,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,082.41 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lakers | 48c | 19,174$9,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,970.47 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 49c | 18,942$9,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,734.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 48c | 16,821$8,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,746.93 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Lakers | 48c | 15,425$7,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,946.57 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 48c | 14,840$7,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,708.91 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Lakers | 48c | 14,425$6,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500.95 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Bulls | 53c | 14,233$7,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,542.97 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 48c | 13,710$6,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,163.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Lakers | 48c | 13,190$6,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,858.99 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Lakers | 49c | 11,102$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.04 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Lakers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Lakers | 49c | 9,766$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,980.46 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 51c | 8,248$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.24 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Lakers | 48c | 8,221$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,274.83 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lakers | 48c | 7,347$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.61 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Lakers | 48c | 6,755$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.67 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 53c | 6,235$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Lakers | 48c | 6,043$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.93 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Lakers | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Bulls | 52c | 5,770$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.78 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Bulls | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lakers | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 49c | 4,021$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.71 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…0918backed Lakers | 49c | 3,940$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Bulls | 52c | 3,260$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.83 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 47c | 3,129$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.22 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 49c | 3,124$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.97 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 50c | 3,018$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.43 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 50c | 3,001$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.74 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Lakers | 45c | 3,000$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.97 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Bulls | 51c | 2,922$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers | 49c | 2,757$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.14 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Lakers | 49c | 2,757$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.14 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Lakers | 57c | 2,756$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.6 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Lakers | 50c | 2,708$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.61 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Bulls | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.99 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Bulls | 52c | 2,680$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.67 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 50c | 2,454$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace8…4624backed Lakers | 49c | 2,416$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,415$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…7162backed Lakers | 49c | 2,396$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.85 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Lakers | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.2 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,990$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.58 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bulls | 46c | 1,981$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.84 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Lakers | 48c | 1,923$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.92 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Lakers | 49c | 1,855$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.04 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Lakers | 49c | 1,849$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.98 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Lakers | 48c | 1,835$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 53c | 1,737$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.51 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Lakers | 49c | 1,700$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.68 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Bulls | 52c | 1,580$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.84 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Bulls | 66c | 1,520$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Bulls | 52c | 1,500$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,490$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.71 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Bulls | 47c | 1,409$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.23 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bulls | 10c | 1,383$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bulls | 45c | 1,296$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.81 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Lakers | 31c | 1,283$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.35 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers | 63c | 1,281$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.26 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 59c | 1,221$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Bulls | 52c | 1,207$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.81 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,182$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.57 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,173$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c57…47aabacked Lakers | 49c | 1,137$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 51c | 1,105$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.97 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 55c | 1,071$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.29 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Bulls | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Bulls | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.64 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…abb4backed Bulls | 45c | 999.4$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Bulls | 52c | 962.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…95bfbacked Bulls | 53c | 924.93$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.29 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Lakers | 49c | 914.55$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.42 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Bulls won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Bulls won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. LakersLakers won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Guerschon Yabusele: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.