TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Guerschon Yabusele: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,041 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ab1…b84bbacked No74c259$192 inWon+$67.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd8…ba7fbacked No74c250.09$185 inWon+$65.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1feb…3f78backed No74c248$184 inWon+$64.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…1a5cbacked No74c248$184 inWon+$64.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01d…85dbbacked No74c237$175 inWon+$61.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2a…c387backed No74c235$174 inWon+$61.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f2…8c44backed Yes26c232$60 inLost-$60.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7372…d682backed Yes26c201$52 inLost-$52.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd14…0bb1backed Yes26c195$51 inLost-$50.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde08…2504backed Yes26c186$48 inLost-$48.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f7…1e76backed Yes26c177$46 inLost-$46.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc2d…1295backed Yes26c169$44 inLost-$43.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…27e4backed Yes26c167$43 inLost-$43.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e27…d9adbacked Yes26c162$42 inLost-$42.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32c4…e64ebacked Yes26c157$41 inLost-$40.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d98…57f0backed No74c156$115 inWon+$40.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d9…1fd3backed No74c150$111 inWon+$391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ff…0876backed Yes26c146$38 inLost-$37.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No65c132.29$86 inWon+$46.31,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x246c…8142backed Yes34c123$42 inLost-$423839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1d…72eebacked Yes35c114.29$40 inLost-$40137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.29per pick37cpaid-86.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No75c111.41$84 inWon+$27.5922774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc323…a9cabacked No77c18.71$14 inWon+$4.3366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No66c18$12 inWon+$6.124,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.