TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,633 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Under50c24,157$12,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,078.530845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c24,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.691,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c20,536$10,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,256.291,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over50c14,300$7,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,151.9623147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over52c9,905$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,705.064535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c7,196$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,575.269,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under48c6,240$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.28361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb14…cb3fbacked Over50c6,030$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Over52c5,477$2,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.841250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ae…74f1backed Over47c5,213$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Under48c4,083$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.351,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over50c4,001$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.1926648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c2,833$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Under51c2,593$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.194854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under51c2,400$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.9832151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under48c2,292$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c2,215$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.84,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3341649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under50c2,002$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.6411242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca18…9520backed Under53c1,915$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c1,743$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.722,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6959…5731backed Under53c1,677$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.8140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over50c1,630$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.243,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea7…90fabacked Under53c1,621$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under47c1,500$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.314448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over48c1,294$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67317953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c1,081$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.0848546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Under50c1,000$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.233860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10c6…19b6backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4808253.7%44 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over50c895.34$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.0123850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under48c880$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c860$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over50c855.41$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.8825840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c693.45$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.866,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c692.35$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.024,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c619$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.342,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c615.32$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.182,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c575.87$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c538.03$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.153,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.21,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over52c450.91$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6914248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over50c433.35$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8723348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over53c410.5$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under51c392.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under53c378.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2158450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14415650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7110348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Over51c298.02$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1118143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under50c234.64$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9633554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x366c…ec19backed Under42c225.09$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9413748.2%66 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Under51c222.35$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.47439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c205.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9684150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.086753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over41c166.65$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.761,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…eaecbacked Under51c161.1$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.837549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Under50c157.41$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.476746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under66c152.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4815534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c137.55$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.92,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over50c137.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c51…19a2backed Under49c132.92$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c126.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.563,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.215240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under53c118.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.071,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Under55c109.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012836.7%47 W · 81 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b52…34cdbacked Under49c102.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d18…fd1bbacked Under49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over37c96.55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.792,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over52c96.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.344341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Under58c84.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.497857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under53c75.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8323657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Over49c71.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4513045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under64c69.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7961253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Under51c68.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under49c61.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over51c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9362347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Under58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9513953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over42c46.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7912227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under50c45.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9567248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over51c44.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0215752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over49c43.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.121,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f2…fb3bbacked Under46c41.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9127345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Over49c40.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.915041.3%62 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Over49c40.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.98143.2%35 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under68c40.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2419166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under50c39.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.825651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f3…2527backed Over52c38.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under53c37.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under37c34.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6953839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Over49c32.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6518054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over44c31.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.412,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c05…639ebacked Over49c30.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.678452.4%44 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.