NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa3f3962e1eeebdb0a67a485de1a277b553eab553cf1278f1578a1b4a9b159c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,633 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 50c | 24,157$12,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,078.5 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 24,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.69 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 20,536$10,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,256.29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 50c | 14,300$7,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,151.96 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over | 52c | 9,905$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.06 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 7,196$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 48c | 6,240$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.2 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…cb3fbacked Over | 50c | 6,030$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Over | 52c | 5,477$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…74f1backed Over | 47c | 5,213$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 48c | 4,083$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.35 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 50c | 4,001$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.19 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 2,833$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed Under | 51c | 2,593$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.19 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.98 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 2,215$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 50c | 2,002$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.64 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca18…9520backed Under | 53c | 1,915$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 1,743$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.72 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…5731backed Under | 53c | 1,677$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 1,630$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.24 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea7…90fabacked Under | 53c | 1,621$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Under | 47c | 1,500$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.3 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 48c | 1,294$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 1,081$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.08 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.23 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 895.34$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.01 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 48c | 880$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 860$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 50c | 855.41$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.88 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 693.45$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 692.35$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 49c | 619$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.34 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 615.32$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 575.87$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 538.03$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.15 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 52c | 450.91$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.69 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 50c | 433.35$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.87 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 410.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.18 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 51c | 392.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 53c | 378.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 51c | 298.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 50c | 234.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ec19backed Under | 42c | 225.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Under | 51c | 222.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 205.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 41c | 166.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…eaecbacked Under | 51c | 161.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Under | 50c | 157.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 66c | 152.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 137.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 137.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c51…19a2backed Under | 49c | 132.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 126.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 118.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Under | 55c | 109.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…34cdbacked Under | 49c | 102.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…fd1bbacked Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 37c | 96.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 52c | 96.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Under | 58c | 84.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under | 53c | 75.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Over | 49c | 71.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 64c | 69.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 51c | 68.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 49c | 61.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 42c | 46.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 50c | 45.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 51c | 44.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 49c | 43.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f2…fb3bbacked Under | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Over | 49c | 40.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Over | 49c | 40.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 68c | 40.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 50c | 39.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f3…2527backed Over | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 53c | 37.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 37c | 34.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 31.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…639ebacked Over | 49c | 30.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Bulls won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Bulls won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. LakersLakers won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Guerschon Yabusele: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.