NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf80a305ec7d61d01117d02167df05d1a3325812095d29091fd3d52a3bb193c90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $865,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $865,042 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 49c | 367,919$180,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179,999.61 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 51c | 200,145$102,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,569.79 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 47c | 103,093$48,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,753.92 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,400 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Lakers | 53c | 31,500$16,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,805.15 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b6…3eeebacked Lakers | 54c | 27,439$14,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,622 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Lakers | 65c | 20,000$12,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,002.86 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…8ac1backed Lakers | 54c | 19,289$10,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,872.82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 52c | 18,416$9,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,840.06 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 52c | 15,823$8,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,610.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 37c | 15,034$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 51c | 15,000$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300.51 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lakers | 52c | 12,578$6,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,039.14 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 52c | 12,500$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Lakers | 52c | 11,346$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.15 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Lakers | 53c | 8,488$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.36 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Lakers | 52c | 7,551$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.6 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Lakers | 52c | 7,280$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.4 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…5e99backed Lakers | 53c | 7,092$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 53c | 5,226$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.67 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lakers | 52c | 4,992$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.24 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 51c | 4,739$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lakers | 52c | 4,080$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.55 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lakers | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.62 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 53c | 3,647$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Lakers | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea2…97e3backed Bulls | 46c | 3,259$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…b4c1backed Lakers | 54c | 2,961$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Lakers | 50c | 2,816$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.83 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 51c | 2,802$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19b…4b94backed Bulls | 46c | 2,781$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Lakers | 52c | 2,717$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.44 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8625…ef59backed Bulls | 46c | 2,601$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0634…06b8backed Bulls | 46c | 2,594$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…22f8backed Bulls | 46c | 2,594$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 54c | 2,593$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.83 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…6539backed Bulls | 46c | 2,580$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0662…1d60backed Bulls | 46c | 2,571$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…7d38backed Bulls | 46c | 2,555$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…a9d9backed Bulls | 46c | 2,535$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3629…a33fbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,534$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…dd6dbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,530$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…b006backed Bulls | 46c | 2,515$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…12f6backed Bulls | 46c | 2,513$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d2…083dbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,509$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…c1e1backed Bulls | 46c | 2,502$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Lakers | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.04 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…ed79backed Bulls | 46c | 2,490$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde89…e712backed Bulls | 46c | 2,480$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879c…6ebbbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,477$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…66eabacked Bulls | 46c | 2,471$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…ae4ebacked Bulls | 46c | 2,470$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…aff2backed Bulls | 46c | 2,454$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb668…d854backed Bulls | 46c | 2,449$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…d37cbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,445$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…6321backed Bulls | 46c | 2,436$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…9ab5backed Bulls | 46c | 2,425$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…903bbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,422$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…c0d1backed Bulls | 46c | 2,416$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…91fcbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,363$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b3…18e7backed Bulls | 46c | 2,354$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…77cbbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,352$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ec…bdc5backed Bulls | 46c | 2,343$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a1…62d1backed Bulls | 46c | 2,336$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad3…966ebacked Bulls | 46c | 2,334$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…8ab5backed Bulls | 46c | 2,327$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…5e4fbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,325$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…484cbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,299$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…fd11backed Bulls | 46c | 2,293$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccc…38afbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,279$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…8599backed Bulls | 46c | 2,228$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 52c | 2,221$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.2 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…eb3cbacked Lakers | 54c | 2,216$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…0752backed Lakers | 54c | 2,203$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9c…9be4backed Lakers | 54c | 2,189$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…7949backed Lakers | 54c | 2,187$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21a…d002backed Lakers | 54c | 2,186$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…6620backed Bulls | 46c | 2,184$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2a…dcc3backed Lakers | 54c | 2,180$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a7…ea73backed Lakers | 54c | 2,174$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…514ebacked Lakers | 54c | 2,172$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…0930backed Bulls | 46c | 2,153$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bulls | 42c | 2,144$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991c…061cbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,143$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23da…b980backed Lakers | 54c | 2,138$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd6…532cbacked Lakers | 54c | 2,137$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…b799backed Lakers | 54c | 2,127$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd728…800cbacked Lakers | 54c | 2,125$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…8030backed Lakers | 54c | 2,115$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…d3a8backed Lakers | 54c | 2,112$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…82dabacked Lakers | 54c | 2,098$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…22c5backed Lakers | 54c | 2,084$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b7…b871backed Lakers | 54c | 2,080$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ede…7a1ebacked Lakers | 54c | 2,076$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e9…811ebacked Lakers | 54c | 2,075$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…b879backed Lakers | 54c | 2,050$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffa…0d10backed Lakers | 54c | 2,042$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…e6c6backed Lakers | 54c | 2,041$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9dfebacked Lakers | 54c | 2,040$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Bulls won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Bulls won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. LakersLakers won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Guerschon Yabusele: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.