TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,809 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20d6…3856backed Under47c12,691$6,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,001.439842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over52c11,034$5,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,306.8445850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over53c9,875$5,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.841,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under48c3,934$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8881968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b11…0918backed Under48c3,850$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb14…cb3fbacked Over48c3,850$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c3,532$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under47c3,169$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.011,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c2,541$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over54c2,446$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.0429055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under52c2,213$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1431,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under47c1,850$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.514448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over56c1,782$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.341,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over53c1,497$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.5840947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under52c1,208$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.313,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under46c915.11$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6424151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c874.07$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.811,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c700$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.823,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under47c634.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0718043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over53c630.67$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over54c617.44$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2721250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under46c531.41$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2523348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c509.99$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.944,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Under46c468.28$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.643132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under48c398.75$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.440146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c384.09$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.895,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c373.92$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under45c336.45$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5420350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over52c335.79$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1851438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over52c246.26$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.21,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Under48c239.58$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under45c226.46$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.612,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5583…1fbbbacked Under47c216.8$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.91442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9424428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Under39c158.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3122846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Under46c152.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Under47c141.65$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under40c120.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8315752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over55c117.74$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2614466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.72,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over54c109.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3792058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over60c109.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.061,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under41c104.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8576552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over55c104.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c82.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.44,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Under44c77.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.115558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under44c77.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.421,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under48c74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5254747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277c…e529backed Under48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.62540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under47c69.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6413554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under44c68.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3055444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over53c66.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.438253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over51c58.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.829351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under43c53.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2332752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under48c50.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over52c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0816141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee3…bf37backed Over54c45.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.087445.9%34 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c44.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under48c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1246447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Over51c43.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2329149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x111c…40a3backed Under47c42.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.143138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under47c40.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9930845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over55c39.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9148751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…6ae3backed Under48c39.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Over52c38.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1124150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over53c37.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4191746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1c…1f45backed Under46c37.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.095743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x960c…4a4ebacked Over54c36.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.676643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Under48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3911946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over54c35.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5825651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under45c35.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9837845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over53c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5125840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over61c32.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7245251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf804…8758backed Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.073839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over60c28.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Over59c26.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over55c26.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.741,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…32d9backed Over58c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Over52c20.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.910951.4%56 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Under54c20.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.899057.8%52 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.