TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

WNBA Finals: Lynx vs. Liberty Game 4

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lynxof Lynx, Liberty
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad18…0b4fbacked Lynx45c3,367$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.527929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lynx44c2,000$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.6117541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Liberty56c1,750$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Lynx41c1,546$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.843351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Liberty64c1,463$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Liberty58c1,326$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.3312840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e00…a3e7backed Liberty57c1,275$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Lynx32c1,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee0…a44cbacked Liberty57c1,202$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd03c…218ebacked Lynx43c1,162$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Lynx41c1,088$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2447…6f43backed Lynx43c845.99$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Liberty60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5b…077fbacked Liberty57c798.25$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…db84backed Liberty60c742.41$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x333a…6376backed Liberty54c740.97$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6e…bbe5backed Lynx43c710.68$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Lynx42c595.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.24540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf3…b625backed Lynx43c549.82$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d1…4319backed Lynx43c534$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7297…e44dbacked Liberty57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Lynx43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2853100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1437…efe6backed Liberty58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e18…82a0backed Lynx42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa0…aacdbacked Liberty50c481.13$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Liberty55c397.89$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.892646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dec…c5b2backed Lynx43c395.35$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07f…8b4abacked Liberty55c363.78$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Liberty58c347.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.111546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x202d…f8dabacked Lynx43c290.67$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…ea75backed Liberty59c236.09$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Liberty57c205.97$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c32…09dfbacked Liberty59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Liberty59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ec…dcfdbacked Liberty59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3702…850abacked Lynx41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1361…822ebacked Lynx44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdb…7b76backed Liberty59c100.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a50…869fbacked Lynx42c99.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Liberty43c98.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5992…26c4backed Liberty59c87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa24…3d23backed Lynx40c87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x326a…8fabbacked Liberty59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Liberty61c65.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1be…0410backed Liberty60c65.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3301…95bfbacked Lynx43c65.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a2…a2bcbacked Liberty60c63.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5d…7ae1backed Liberty57c62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…ac93backed Lynx44c62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Liberty57c56.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.051631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4348…96cdbacked Lynx44c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0026…823bbacked Liberty57c56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ee…64cfbacked Lynx42c53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x217e…3215backed Liberty58c53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf318…0cdcbacked Liberty58c52.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Liberty59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Lynx41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.527232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0280…29b4backed Liberty57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb508…cb11backed Liberty58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5624…b9abbacked Liberty58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c83…865bbacked Liberty58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6d…c9a4backed Liberty60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5002…e027backed Lynx44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3cd…5da7backed Liberty58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef79…96dcbacked Liberty58c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee1…d07abacked Liberty58c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3b…d55bbacked Liberty58c47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2d…6758backed Lynx42c47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0773…b99ebacked Lynx43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fea…449fbacked Liberty59c42.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb85e…35a4backed Lynx42c42.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Liberty60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251675%12 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cec…1e3dbacked Liberty55c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5886…e506backed Liberty60c35.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b12…5192backed Lynx42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa751…af42backed Lynx42c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad6…831dbacked Liberty60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dec…75a6backed Lynx44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c06…6630backed Liberty66c29.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e59…40c9backed Lynx42c29.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed Liberty59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5138…1d4dbacked Lynx42c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a98…5be6backed Liberty60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b3…fef3backed Liberty59c23.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f28…adfcbacked Liberty62c22.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e6…884abacked Liberty59c20.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35dd…e349backed Liberty60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb2…6dbebacked Liberty59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Liberty60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c6f…98cdbacked Liberty60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48da…0419backed Liberty59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf9…422bbacked Liberty59c19.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb0…3fe2backed Liberty62c19.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae91…8a2abacked Liberty57c19.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.