WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4f4e7a42b0c3e57eceb23ab5da50904c6896fea1d76de745d6e7243ea71aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked PortlandFire | 2c | 80,153$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.31 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed PortlandFire | 20c | 18,068$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.78 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 16,329$12,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.86 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed PortlandFire | 1c | 13,200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed PortlandFire | 34c | 10,803$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.43 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed PortlandFire | 20c | 10,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked PortlandFire | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 9,673$7,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.77 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked PortlandFire | 21c | 9,465$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.71 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 7,912$6,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.8 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PortlandFire | 19c | 7,315$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.29 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire | 7c | 7,298$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.6 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked PortlandFire | 0c | 7,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed PortlandFire | 21c | 6,425$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.87 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed PortlandFire | 1c | 5,758$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed PortlandFire | 10c | 5,186$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.32 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed PortlandFire | 18c | 4,706$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.05 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked PortlandFire | 3c | 4,356$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked PortlandFire | 14c | 4,223$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.47 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked PortlandFire | 14c | 3,619$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.72 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Las Vegas Aces | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.25 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 12c | 3,279$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.72 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Las Vegas Aces | 64c | 2,500$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PortlandFire | 27c | 2,352$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.13 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 2,303$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.33 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Las Vegas Aces | 66c | 2,061$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Las Vegas Aces | 64c | 2,004$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.81 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 1,740$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.7 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked PortlandFire | 16c | 1,638$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.91 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked PortlandFire | 3c | 1,560$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked PortlandFire | 34c | 1,416$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.45 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PortlandFire | 31c | 1,383$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.19 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked PortlandFire | 5c | 1,276$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Las Vegas Aces | 79c | 1,171$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 1,128$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.68 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 1,125$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.92 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…698fbacked PortlandFire | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed PortlandFire | 23c | 1,042$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.12 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed PortlandFire | 3c | 1,038$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed PortlandFire | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked PortlandFire | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed PortlandFire | 27c | 925.58$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.89 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed PortlandFire | 11c | 904.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…8facbacked Las Vegas Aces | 61c | 868.8$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed PortlandFire | 22c | 849.87$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed PortlandFire | 26c | 760.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed PortlandFire | 18c | 750.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…149cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 66c | 702.02$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PortlandFire | 7c | 682$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 593.86$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…b938backed PortlandFire | 3c | 539.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked PortlandFire | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed PortlandFire | 7c | 522.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…a2d6backed PortlandFire | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed PortlandFire | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee37…8e8abacked Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 496.68$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked PortlandFire | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 399$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PortlandFire | 9c | 395.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed PortlandFire | 7c | 393.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked PortlandFire | 7c | 383.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed PortlandFire | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 363$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PortlandFire | 20c | 360$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces | 75c | 346$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…1f22backed PortlandFire | 8c | 333.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed PortlandFire | 19c | 312.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed PortlandFire | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Las Vegas Aces | 67c | 296.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed PortlandFire | 21c | 295.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 294.87$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…4800backed PortlandFire | 33c | 293.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked PortlandFire | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked PortlandFire | 11c | 205$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PortlandFire | 17c | 198$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed PortlandFire | 36c | 197$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed PortlandFire | 30c | 192.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked PortlandFire | 33c | 183.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…2dbdbacked PortlandFire | 27c | 172.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…bf53backed Las Vegas Aces | 65c | 169.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Las Vegas Aces | 77c | 156.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 154.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…b54abacked PortlandFire | 9c | 152.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…aeedbacked PortlandFire | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked PortlandFire | 23c | 146.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 143.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…d888backed PortlandFire | 17c | 141.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked PortlandFire | 17c | 140.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…57febacked PortlandFire | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…70a8backed Las Vegas Aces | 70c | 133.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PortlandFire | 8c | 133.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed PortlandFire | 9c | 127.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…37b5backed PortlandFire | 20c | 124.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked PortlandFire | 24c | 123$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked PortlandFire | 9c | 115.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…e875backed PortlandFire | 39c | 112.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…ea97backed PortlandFire | 18c | 102.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 73c | 100.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirethis page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.