WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa998bdfb708760276b8928311f3834480a88fb0acf2723e46996a345a091652a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 74,870$40,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,522.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 42,497$19,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,599.26 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked PortlandFire | 58c | 20,208$11,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,620.95 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked PortlandFire | 47c | 8,096$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 4,942$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.73 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 4,803$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.38 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PortlandFire | 20c | 4,663$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.63 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed PortlandFire | 47c | 4,468$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.55 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PortlandFire | 20c | 3,946$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.07 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed PortlandFire | 46c | 2,939$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.77 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PortlandFire | 23c | 2,654$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.66 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed PortlandFire | 47c | 2,499$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.53 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked PortlandFire | 45c | 1,840$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.01 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed PortlandFire | 46c | 1,765$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.59 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 1,542$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.05 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked PortlandFire | 47c | 1,389$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.83 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed PortlandFire | 45c | 1,335$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 1,284$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.32 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed PortlandFire | 70c | 1,179$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.03 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 955.35$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.27 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked PortlandFire | 56c | 900.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed PortlandFire | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed PortlandFire | 48c | 821.91$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 711.26$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.37 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed PortlandFire | 20c | 660.95$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PortlandFire | 57c | 650.8$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.59 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed PortlandFire | 47c | 587$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed PortlandFire | 45c | 550.75$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.84 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…d50ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 419.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.66 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PortlandFire | 52c | 380.72$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked PortlandFire | 22c | 360$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PortlandFire | 36c | 332.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed PortlandFire | 20c | 330$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed PortlandFire | 20c | 309.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed PortlandFire | 50c | 307.24$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.62 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked PortlandFire | 20c | 292.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed PortlandFire | 45c | 288.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked PortlandFire | 45c | 288.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 268.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 234.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.58 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed PortlandFire | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked PortlandFire | 41c | 221.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 205.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.79 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked PortlandFire | 20c | 184.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 161.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked PortlandFire | 53c | 159.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PortlandFire | 39c | 138.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked PortlandFire | 20c | 100.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed PortlandFire | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PortlandFire | 50c | 96.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked PortlandFire | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PortlandFire | 20c | 93.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 85.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…4b79backed PortlandFire | 50c | 80.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked PortlandFire | 56c | 80.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Las Vegas Aces | 38c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 328 | 49.4%162 W · 166 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed PortlandFire | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Las Vegas Aces | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked PortlandFire | 48c | 62.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 57.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked PortlandFire | 20c | 51.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed PortlandFire | 39c | 50.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked PortlandFire | 62c | 48.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed PortlandFire | 45c | 47.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 44.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…57febacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 44.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…c784backed PortlandFire | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 37.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed PortlandFire | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Las Vegas Aces | 63c | 34.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed PortlandFire | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed PortlandFire | 54c | 32.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed PortlandFire | 46c | 30.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces | 39c | 29.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…06e2backed PortlandFire | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed PortlandFire | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked PortlandFire | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 23.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed PortlandFire | 47c | 22.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFireLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.