TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KOLESIEof Walczaki, KOLESIE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d24…20b3backed Walczaki62c2,560$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.4343544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed KOLESIE32c1,007$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.312,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked KOLESIE47c615.65$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4519935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed KOLESIE28c496.05$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7320242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed KOLESIE67c446.08$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7416349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x130d…3205backed Walczaki57c440.62$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Walczaki58c349.97$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9830348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca2…0beabacked Walczaki77c338.58$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.662759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed KOLESIE62c320.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7620156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE41c298.88$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.564,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed KOLESIE76c293.67$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0841050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Walczaki60c292.97$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.491,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked KOLESIE40c276.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2317449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki53c245.75$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.812,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1f36…e974backed Walczaki79c241.18$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.011668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Walczaki53c165.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3315044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked KOLESIE37c164.83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.862,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b3…4b20backed Walczaki57c157.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Walczaki65c154.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032662%202 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed KOLESIE55c150$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.849143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1c…8273backed Walczaki67c149.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Walczaki68c147.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki73c129.42$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.617,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Walczaki24c119.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed KOLESIE45c119.3$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1235148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki53c118$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.945,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE55c117.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.14,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Walczaki65c114$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.672,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked KOLESIE29c111.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.479341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0893…d1f1backed KOLESIE47c106.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Walczaki55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5541054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed KOLESIE25c96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7230939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed KOLESIE37c92.53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.328637.2%32 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4018…f37ebacked KOLESIE31c85.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.646434.4%22 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki42c81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.812,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Walczaki49c77.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.131,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE35c73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.183,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Walczaki69c72.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049766.8%332 W · 165 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed KOLESIE39c68.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.712,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Walczaki45c64.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0322037.3%82 W · 138 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ad…0e38backed Walczaki70c64.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed Walczaki68c58.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.731662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked KOLESIE29c58.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.963,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed KOLESIE47c57.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4522557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddd…1fc8backed Walczaki72c54.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.379557.9%55 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Walczaki55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Walczaki64c54.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8593261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Walczaki80c52.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.613850%69 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Walczaki68c50.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3741250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd362…940dbacked KOLESIE69c50.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.522347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed KOLESIE54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae4…5282backed KOLESIE32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed Walczaki69c47.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.088356.6%47 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Walczaki54c46.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541147.7%196 W · 215 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed KOLESIE36c39.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1838131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE33c35.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.033,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE49c34.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.945,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Walczaki69c33.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2326657.9%154 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked KOLESIE35c31.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.882,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf13f…343fbacked Walczaki77c28.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-40.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Walczaki61c27.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7425643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Walczaki44c26.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5870042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4c…d6a2backed Walczaki68c25.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e99…2229backed KOLESIE74c25.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.593450%17 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Walczaki50c24.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.415973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Walczaki66c22.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8239772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Walczaki70c21.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1221755.8%121 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.