CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6e870050941ec63a5bf1de0f41995f070e382e0a577120f8e6564c26516640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof Walczaki, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Walczaki | 62c | 2,560$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.43 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KOLESIE | 32c | 1,007$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.31 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked KOLESIE | 47c | 615.65$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.45 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed KOLESIE | 28c | 496.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.73 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed KOLESIE | 67c | 446.08$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.74 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x130d…3205backed Walczaki | 57c | 440.62$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Walczaki | 58c | 349.97$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…0beabacked Walczaki | 77c | 338.58$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.66 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed KOLESIE | 62c | 320.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE | 41c | 298.88$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed KOLESIE | 76c | 293.67$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Walczaki | 60c | 292.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked KOLESIE | 40c | 276.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki | 53c | 245.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…e974backed Walczaki | 79c | 241.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Walczaki | 53c | 165.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KOLESIE | 37c | 164.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…4b20backed Walczaki | 57c | 157.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Walczaki | 65c | 154.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed KOLESIE | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…8273backed Walczaki | 67c | 149.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Walczaki | 68c | 147.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 73c | 129.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Walczaki | 24c | 119.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed KOLESIE | 45c | 119.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 53c | 118$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE | 55c | 117.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Walczaki | 65c | 114$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked KOLESIE | 29c | 111.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…d1f1backed KOLESIE | 47c | 106.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Walczaki | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed KOLESIE | 25c | 96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed KOLESIE | 37c | 92.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4018…f37ebacked KOLESIE | 31c | 85.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki | 42c | 81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Walczaki | 49c | 77.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE | 35c | 73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Walczaki | 69c | 72.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed KOLESIE | 39c | 68.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Walczaki | 45c | 64.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed Walczaki | 70c | 64.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed Walczaki | 68c | 58.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KOLESIE | 29c | 58.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed KOLESIE | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed Walczaki | 72c | 54.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Walczaki | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Walczaki | 64c | 54.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Walczaki | 80c | 52.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Walczaki | 68c | 50.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…940dbacked KOLESIE | 69c | 50.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed KOLESIE | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…5282backed KOLESIE | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Walczaki | 69c | 47.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Walczaki | 54c | 46.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed KOLESIE | 36c | 39.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE | 33c | 35.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE | 49c | 34.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Walczaki | 69c | 33.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KOLESIE | 35c | 31.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13f…343fbacked Walczaki | 77c | 28.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Walczaki | 61c | 27.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Walczaki | 44c | 26.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed Walczaki | 68c | 25.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed KOLESIE | 74c | 25.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Walczaki | 50c | 24.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Walczaki | 66c | 22.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Walczaki | 70c | 21.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO5) - European Pro League Series 7 PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 3 WinnerWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 4 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5)KOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.