TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KOLESIEof Walczaki, KOLESIE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked KOLESIE54c3,456$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.3392456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked KOLESIE49c2,715$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.71,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Walczaki50c1,443$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.8635839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked Walczaki50c1,006$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.815246.2%24 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Walczaki51c958.28$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48819935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki50c784.55$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.767,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed KOLESIE56c777.35$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.671,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Walczaki51c548.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9914151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked KOLESIE50c460$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23026554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Walczaki45c416.79$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.272,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x788c…b217backed Walczaki57c408.54$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.283345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Walczaki49c405.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Walczaki42c402.32$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3443544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a9…5aa1backed KOLESIE47c353.94$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.692218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-69.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed KOLESIE56c325.08$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8820156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Walczaki55c314$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9745754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki22c303.51$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.72,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked KOLESIE50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Walczaki42c295.11$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE56c287.23$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.484,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked KOLESIE51c260.23$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9330450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Walczaki52c257.74$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0240155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked KOLESIE50c257.04$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12831647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Walczaki45c252.39$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.672,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Walczaki47c251.9$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.951,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb98a…914bbacked KOLESIE52c251.51$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6711446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed KOLESIE55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2945465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Walczaki43c239.46$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9719748.7%96 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac1…df98backed Walczaki52c237$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.842955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked KOLESIE45c236.93$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7389248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Walczaki43c234$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6283543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0893…d1f1backed Walczaki43c232.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked KOLESIE57c230.63$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2813371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Walczaki43c224$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3216349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Walczaki16c215.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4220242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed Walczaki43c211.63$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Walczaki44c200.9$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5564046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc620…7a70backed KOLESIE50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015540%62 W · 93 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed KOLESIE50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10030039.7%119 W · 181 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Walczaki50c194.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0589046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x924b…4aeebacked Walczaki55c182$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed KOLESIE56c178.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.864257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Walczaki45c178.35$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0991743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed KOLESIE52c177$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2859049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki35c163.32$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.173,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki18c150.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.682,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki44c146.69$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.422,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki43c144$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.485,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Walczaki21c139.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Walczaki56c127.45$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3740857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed Walczaki59c123.34$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6722256.8%126 W · 96 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Walczaki50c119.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9913850%69 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4018…f37ebacked KOLESIE43c106.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.986434.4%22 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b3…4b20backed Walczaki53c104.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked KOLESIE52c101.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.714331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfe…9483backed Walczaki20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203727%10 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed KOLESIE57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4323757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Walczaki52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5241250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a57…4942backed KOLESIE57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed Walczaki43c98.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0823956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed KOLESIE52c95.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.649766.8%332 W · 165 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Walczaki54c91.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.233644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed KOLESIE57c89.8$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.631662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki17c88.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca2…0beabacked KOLESIE60c83.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.952759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34e6…e673backed Walczaki33c79.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+73.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9754…fb93backed Walczaki50c75.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6112045%54 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed KOLESIE48c73.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2141147.7%196 W · 215 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Walczaki44c65.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.042,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed KOLESIE46c65.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7277146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked KOLESIE51c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8527156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d65…6a04backed Walczaki35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218542.4%36 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked KOLESIE55c58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1239772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Walczaki33c56.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.791,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE64c55.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.065,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Walczaki50c53.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8126657.9%154 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe525…9ecbbacked Walczaki57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df3…b8bebacked KOLESIE52c50.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2321254.2%115 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Walczaki50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed KOLESIE61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.593261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki50c49.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.773,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked KOLESIE60c48.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.331250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Walczaki50c47.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7418753.5%100 W · 87 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed KOLESIE49c45.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.112,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Walczaki24c43.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.521,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed KOLESIE73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.122557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed KOLESIE53c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.272,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a0…18ffbacked Walczaki44c36.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.213764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Walczaki39c34.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5215044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed KOLESIE51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1738131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3d…6aa1backed KOLESIE40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187970.9%56 W · 23 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x78ab…a53fbacked Walczaki54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.13933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5ca…19c8backed KOLESIE49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45450%27 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Walczaki50c29.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Walczaki46c28.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.224,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Walczaki38c28.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.855973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x9935…a6b4backed Walczaki50c26.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.961330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed KOLESIE50c25.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8732054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Walczaki52c25.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0236856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd362…940dbacked KOLESIE46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.