TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Walczakiof Walczaki, KOLESIE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked KOLESIE55c10,854$5,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,959.6992456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Walczaki49c4,992$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.743544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Walczaki50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25043951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Walczaki52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96094645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Walczaki43c1,727$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.585,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked KOLESIE50c1,366$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.155246.2%24 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked KOLESIE44c669.55$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29419546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki46c622.98$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.865,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x788c…b217backed KOLESIE46c514.45$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.463345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Walczaki53c500.25$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2544244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Walczaki42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.4519935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Walczaki50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25024447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Walczaki49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25561034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed KOLESIE35c481.96$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.52,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed Walczaki51c479.78$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.793228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Walczaki50c464.77$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6354543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed KOLESIE66c453.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002528%7 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Walczaki79c400$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2850358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Walczaki54c398.08$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7278963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed KOLESIE50c390$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19539038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed KOLESIE57c366.44$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0430155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a57…4942backed KOLESIE49c322.8$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.52268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedbb…f53cbacked KOLESIE51c311.9$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.91216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid+43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked KOLESIE73c299.97$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9824562%152 W · 93 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki53c293.71$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.924,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Walczaki56c274.73$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8889248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed KOLESIE42c268.65$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0414151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4018…f37ebacked Walczaki51c259.39$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.396434.4%22 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ec…64b6backed KOLESIE59c245.83$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked KOLESIE45c245.09$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.842,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed KOLESIE50c234.12$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.069040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked KOLESIE45c229.53$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Walczaki45c219.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9514042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Walczaki50c210.85$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4319748.7%96 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed KOLESIE49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.945465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed KOLESIE44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888143.2%35 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Walczaki57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8641250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed Walczaki46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10817044.1%75 W · 95 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Walczaki55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9082146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked KOLESIE49c194$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0613371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed KOLESIE38c187.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.532,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe123…b4ffbacked Walczaki72c163.18$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.698548.2%41 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed Walczaki37c156.53$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8423956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki47c148.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.563,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE41c145.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.031,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Walczaki42c142.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6383543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed KOLESIE41c141$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1464046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked KOLESIE49c136.62$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.232,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed KOLESIE51c135$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.140141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b9…bf5cbacked Walczaki71c134.86$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.514860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed KOLESIE68c128.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2935148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki58c127$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.682,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed KOLESIE63c114.86$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6622256.8%126 W · 96 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d65…6a04backed Walczaki46c108.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.48542.4%36 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked KOLESIE13c101.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.129341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x130d…3205backed KOLESIE30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked KOLESIE50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9456…f371backed Walczaki51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfe…9483backed KOLESIE40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363727%10 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked KOLESIE50c82.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.93,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1b…9651backed KOLESIE64c79.3$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed KOLESIE32c79.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked KOLESIE48c77.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.582,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Walczaki79c71.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1839772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed KOLESIE47c70.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2530247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f6…b228backed Walczaki61c67.7$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.76850%34 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed KOLESIE25c65.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7270042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked Walczaki49c64.29$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7914549.7%72 W · 73 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed KOLESIE49c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.516349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Walczaki45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5641147.7%196 W · 215 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Walczaki37c54.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.91,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Walczaki44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed KOLESIE58c49.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8129052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Walczaki41c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.261,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed KOLESIE44c39.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.527742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed KOLESIE48c39.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe525…9ecbbacked Walczaki39c38.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE50c36.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.13,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9754…fb93backed KOLESIE48c35.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712045%54 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x812e…6f3cbacked KOLESIE61c29.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed KOLESIE49c28.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked KOLESIE45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.085973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x944e…2918backed Walczaki55c22.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.152755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Walczaki49c20.46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.374,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Walczaki51c20.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9480741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa099…b1d4backed KOLESIE60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127159.2%42 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki58c17.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.372,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.