CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5db57a0e783cb25b65b894eff1e2f735579b8950a4291fa0f4d584da762feac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed KOLESIE | 16c | 1,647$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.51 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Walczaki | 72c | 551.55$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4018…f37ebacked Walczaki | 53c | 265.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed KOLESIE | 50c | 219.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE | 26c | 217.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Walczaki | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Walczaki | 54c | 196.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KOLESIE | 31c | 163.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KOLESIE | 33c | 161.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Walczaki | 42c | 151.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed KOLESIE | 25c | 144$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Walczaki | 77c | 129$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked KOLESIE | 46c | 125.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KOLESIE | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Walczaki | 54c | 118.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed KOLESIE | 34c | 112.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked Walczaki | 43c | 112.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked KOLESIE | 50c | 106.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186b…8567backed KOLESIE | 46c | 104.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed KOLESIE | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed KOLESIE | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked KOLESIE | 14c | 78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE | 30c | 70.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Walczaki | 76c | 62.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed KOLESIE | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed KOLESIE | 38c | 52.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe525…9ecbbacked Walczaki | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Walczaki | 55c | 40.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed KOLESIE | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Walczaki | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…fdaabacked Walczaki | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed KOLESIE | 46c | 31.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Walczaki | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked KOLESIE | 46c | 23.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…2918backed KOLESIE | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO5) - European Pro League Series 7 PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 3 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5)KOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.