NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef6161a9ec12a77843fda03e3f6a6470d7b29b510a494b052ee8c67f17bf73d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 23,491$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 22,503$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Rockets | 75c | 11,988$8,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 11,203$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 8,668$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Trail Blazers | 3c | 7,544$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.77 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187c…ca3cbacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 6,824$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 6,300$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 5,535$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.85 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Rockets | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 3,376$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.64 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 3,100$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rockets | 72c | 3,025$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.26 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 2,684$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.58 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Rockets | 76c | 2,045$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.06 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,829$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.02 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2e…5db7backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 1,828$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Rockets | 80c | 1,724$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.18 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 1,600$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…35e5backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 1,561$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…8640backed Rockets | 79c | 1,555$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 1,448$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.36 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 78c | 1,396$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.83 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,368$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 1,335$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…9f1dbacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 1,090$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 1,054$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.6 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…ae94backed Rockets | 74c | 1,041$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 1,039$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets | 79c | 999.98$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 964.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 940.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 917.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 900.67$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.16 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…1e55backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 900$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 885.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Rockets | 75c | 870.76$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.69 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Trail Blazers | 8c | 816.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 808.62$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.42 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 732.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 724$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…6ed9backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 542.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 539.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 76c | 516.13$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 497.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Rockets | 79c | 469.43$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets | 80c | 458.18$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Rockets | 79c | 432.01$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Rockets | 74c | 427.59$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…b710backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 425.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Rockets | 72c | 349.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb52…314abacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 290$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 267.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 266.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Rockets | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 247.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4405…6782backed Rockets | 73c | 234.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…a9acbacked Rockets | 80c | 234.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 221.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 201.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 199.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…272abacked Rockets | 70c | 194.74$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 194.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 170$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Rockets | 76c | 159.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Rockets | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd477…6c04backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 147.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…2781backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 146.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…451dbacked Rockets | 75c | 114.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…d17cbacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 109.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Rockets | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 102.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Rockets | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5107…6c92backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…4933backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked Rockets | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…5af3backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…cc23backed Rockets | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…1d60backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 99.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 99.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 96.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…7f36backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 82.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4997…508bbacked Rockets | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…a0c5backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…6194backed Rockets | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.