Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Jose State Spartans vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb459580ad02867077a88db54c529c01ec6dbca0151d066aa692e44f3eba68f6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulsa Golden Hurricaneof San Jose State Spartans, Tulsa Golden Hurricane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Jose State Spartans | 19c | 2,095$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.68 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 1,799$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked San Jose State Spartans | 34c | 1,281$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 69c | 1,088$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.35 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 77c | 1,056$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.39 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Jose State Spartans | 18c | 958.38$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 73c | 825.45$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 80c | 501.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 80c | 347.22$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Jose State Spartans | 31c | 341.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Jose State Spartans | 31c | 303.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 69c | 289.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 70c | 187.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…38dbbacked San Jose State Spartans | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 80c | 166$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…83f3backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 74c | 101.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…6092backed San Jose State Spartans | 20c | 100.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed San Jose State Spartans | 34c | 88.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…fae2backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 73c | 78.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…23b3backed San Jose State Spartans | 22c | 77.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Jose State Spartans | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 80c | 61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 69c | 53.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…a1abbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 72c | 48.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…0eb0backed San Jose State Spartans | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…e655backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…3f6fbacked San Jose State Spartans | 29c | 35.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…cca9backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 71c | 35.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…2014backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…a765backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 73c | 27.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…e974backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 73c | 21.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87a…8afcbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 73c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanethis page
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 150.5Under won
- San Jose State Spartans vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-5.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.