NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d088a79269e495cee5ec59bdbd88a37d755219cfb1500b55a42145272e1253b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,179,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,427,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,179,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3df6…bb77backed Hornets | 63c | 78,039$49,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,164.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7efa…acbebacked Wizards | 37c | 78,000$28,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,140 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets | 18c | 60,809$10,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,698.06 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hornets | 11c | 53,366$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,634.67 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Hornets | 64c | 36,948$23,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,637.14 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wizards | 36c | 26,515$9,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,969.75 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets | 20c | 25,201$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.7 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Hornets | 11c | 17,655$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.87 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…835cbacked Hornets | 0c | 15,741$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Hornets | 0c | 13,642$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 17c | 11,067$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.5 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Wizards | 38c | 10,022$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,221.8 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 19c | 9,603$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Hornets | 11c | 5,555$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 14c | 5,000$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Hornets | 24c | 3,565$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.3 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…5bfdbacked Wizards | 66c | 3,050$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 36c | 3,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.99 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Wizards | 33c | 2,990$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.14 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…56d8backed Hornets | 65c | 2,513$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets | 62c | 2,362$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.21 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Hornets | 14c | 2,293$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.89 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Hornets | 1c | 2,215$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Hornets | 62c | 2,177$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.24 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…9cd4backed Hornets | 63c | 2,166$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…992ebacked Wizards | 38c | 2,100$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…2a30backed Hornets | 64c | 2,030$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hornets | 2c | 2,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Wizards | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.08 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets | 62c | 1,909$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.72 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Hornets | 61c | 1,835$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.59 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Hornets | 5c | 1,532$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…65afbacked Wizards | 56c | 1,483$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.24 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 2c | 1,477$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Wizards | 35c | 1,469$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.78 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 1c | 1,379$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 62c | 1,360$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.27 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards | 35c | 1,265$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.23 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Hornets | 36c | 1,200$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.28 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Wizards | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Hornets | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets | 37c | 1,174$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.18 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Hornets | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Wizards | 33c | 1,010$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.36 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Wizards | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Wizards | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…1e3cbacked Hornets | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Hornets | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 45c | 993.32$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.1 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Wizards | 42c | 961.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.9 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets | 57c | 939.84$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.24 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Hornets | 63c | 900$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.5 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Hornets | 63c | 815.39$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 36c | 800$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Hornets | 64c | 785.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Hornets | 12c | 729.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 119 | 34.5%41 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6d…a13fbacked Wizards | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…5eb4backed Wizards | 39c | 649.34$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.1 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Hornets | 22c | 611.56$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Hornets | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets | 40c | 582.82$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.21 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Wizards | 48c | 577.32$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.21 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Wizards | 39c | 569.31$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.28 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4655backed Wizards | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…f19ebacked Wizards | 38c | 547.37$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…7c82backed Wizards | 37c | 545.95$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hornets | 63c | 540$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…3e60backed Hornets | 23c | 534.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Hornets | 48c | 511.75$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.64 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 62c | 505$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…a2c1backed Wizards | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…4ae7backed Wizards | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Wizards | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…39a8backed Hornets | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5090backed Hornets | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Wizards | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…40fabacked Wizards | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Hornets | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Wizards | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Hornets | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…6ca5backed Hornets | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…8f94backed Wizards | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…66a4backed Wizards | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…5d99backed Wizards | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…629cbacked Wizards | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…560cbacked Wizards | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Hornets | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Hornets | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…ab59backed Wizards | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…eb5cbacked Wizards | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…f8b6backed Wizards | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…e0b1backed Hornets | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…d6b4backed Wizards | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…a490backed Hornets | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…63d9backed Hornets | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…0982backed Wizards | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab8…7b58backed Wizards | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.