Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico State Aggies vs. UC Irvine Anteaters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0f4f6e86ea134b747a55a261f3ecca92c0adaa457087307401fe6c2a4197ab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico State Aggiesof New Mexico State Aggies, UC Irvine Anteaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd041…7b26backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 57c | 10,379$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,889 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 40c | 6,146$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 34c | 798.51$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.02 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed New Mexico State Aggies | 68c | 723.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New Mexico State Aggies | 35c | 656$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 34c | 575.12$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed New Mexico State Aggies | 69c | 551$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…a9b8backed New Mexico State Aggies | 69c | 551$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 39c | 374.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 42c | 209.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.45 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…99dabacked New Mexico State Aggies | 71c | 190$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 44c | 182.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed New Mexico State Aggies | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed New Mexico State Aggies | 68c | 87.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 56c | 87.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed New Mexico State Aggies | 43c | 84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 57c | 80.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 43c | 64.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed New Mexico State Aggies | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…d159backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff3b…df2dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 58c | 44.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…1c4cbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 40.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…e847backed New Mexico State Aggies | 74c | 35.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…9454backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked New Mexico State Aggies | 61c | 28.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed New Mexico State Aggies | 77c | 26.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…e974backed New Mexico State Aggies | 66c | 25.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…baa2backed New Mexico State Aggies | 49c | 25.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfa…5426backed New Mexico State Aggies | 44c | 24.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…e043backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 56c | 22.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…6c4fbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…b16bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 57c | 19.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…61c4backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 60c | 18.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd47…2e96backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 61c | 17.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…fe56backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 62c | 16.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9276…081ebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 62c | 16.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.