TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Oregon Ducks vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego State Aztecsof Oregon Ducks, San Diego State Aztecs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$650,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$648,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,827 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Oregon Ducks43c505,384$217,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217,197.463641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed San Diego State Aztecs69c201,219$139,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,730.632958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed San Diego State Aztecs52c138,648$71,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,180.569142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed San Diego State Aztecs58c74,711$43,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,489.374454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed San Diego State Aztecs41c46,785$19,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,439.262,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Diego State Aztecs49c37,000$18,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,689.9990645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed San Diego State Aztecs48c27,782$13,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,570.758749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed7…6084backed Oregon Ducks0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Oregon Ducks29c11,117$3,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.588639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed San Diego State Aztecs58c9,000$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,78028539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked San Diego State Aztecs54c8,505$4,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.375,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oregon Ducks24c5,801$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.022,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oregon Ducks55c5,663$3,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,108.6312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Oregon Ducks58c4,835$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.08540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked San Diego State Aztecs43c4,825$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.1812853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x561f…a932backed Oregon Ducks36c3,707$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed San Diego State Aztecs46c3,362$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.43652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed San Diego State Aztecs45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.331637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa9…1351backed Oregon Ducks22c3,050$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.972222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Oregon Ducks59c2,687$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.181353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed San Diego State Aztecs75c2,631$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.711,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Oregon Ducks57c2,605$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47550%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed San Diego State Aztecs42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45055657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked San Diego State Aztecs43c1,981$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.137145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego State Aztecs52c1,953$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.465,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf38f…bba8backed Oregon Ducks53c1,850$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked San Diego State Aztecs74c1,805$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.411457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…c9eebacked San Diego State Aztecs70c1,451$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.293174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed San Diego State Aztecs74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.35850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Oregon Ducks57c1,292$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed San Diego State Aztecs70c1,097$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.285160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…6937backed San Diego State Aztecs42c1,030$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed San Diego State Aztecs73c1,012$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.223158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Oregon Ducks55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5509641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0679…e5aabacked San Diego State Aztecs74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602568%17 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked San Diego State Aztecs43c942.97$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.491,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Oregon Ducks20c924$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2933438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Oregon Ducks57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego State Aztecs43c866.89$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.614,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked San Diego State Aztecs42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.061,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Oregon Ducks54c781.82$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.1816341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Oregon Ducks28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Oregon Ducks57c701.85$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed San Diego State Aztecs44c699.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3925556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+36%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed San Diego State Aztecs43c653.27$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.5832337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Oregon Ducks57c530.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed San Diego State Aztecs42c510$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.735243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Diego State Aztecs69c509$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.571,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Oregon Ducks43c499.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2135139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+106.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed San Diego State Aztecs43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a0…be02backed Oregon Ducks58c431.04$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3406…3233backed San Diego State Aztecs77c327.91$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.932369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dfe…9ff6backed San Diego State Aztecs73c278.97$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x554a…09c8backed San Diego State Aztecs51c276.37$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Oregon Ducks59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed San Diego State Aztecs58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed San Diego State Aztecs44c244.2$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.751,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed San Diego State Aztecs42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.142934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked San Diego State Aztecs43c232.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.677061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Oregon Ducks56c228$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed San Diego State Aztecs41c210.95$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.772,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked San Diego State Aztecs43c207.45$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2552928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego State Aztecs62c207.4$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.423,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed San Diego State Aztecs41c205.56$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.283756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29d6…2fcbbacked Oregon Ducks56c205$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ba…7c0fbacked San Diego State Aztecs44c205$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oregon Ducks57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed Oregon Ducks57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked San Diego State Aztecs42c136$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.881,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed San Diego State Aztecs43c131.53$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9719851.5%102 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oregon Ducks58c130$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.41,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oregon Ducks26c111.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.032,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked San Diego State Aztecs46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.722640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9492…1f25backed Oregon Ducks49c105.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x686a…c769backed Oregon Ducks58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe40…3dccbacked Oregon Ducks12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed San Diego State Aztecs44c99.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.797626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed San Diego State Aztecs48c95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.67660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4b…84c9backed San Diego State Aztecs68c92.43$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.531361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+94.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3673…79f6backed San Diego State Aztecs42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.331533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed San Diego State Aztecs44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.841554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b18…42ecbacked Oregon Ducks28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e0…3878backed Oregon Ducks57c69.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac7f…361fbacked Oregon Ducks25c62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.512010%2 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-78%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fa…6745backed San Diego State Aztecs45c60.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.36966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed San Diego State Aztecs36c55.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.552718.5%5 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick9cpaid-23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked San Diego State Aztecs44c55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.913343.6%58 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Oregon Ducks27c50.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6217122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed San Diego State Aztecs40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014035%49 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eee…2782backed San Diego State Aztecs64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6237…0d61backed San Diego State Aztecs45c49.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked San Diego State Aztecs42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6215156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e74…d044backed Oregon Ducks57c47.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked San Diego State Aztecs42c45.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1afd…ca9abacked San Diego State Aztecs45c45.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2722…697abacked Oregon Ducks24c41.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed San Diego State Aztecs46c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9821455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb937…f2c5backed Oregon Ducks57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Oregon Ducks57c34.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Oregon Ducks57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3863551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.