Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Villanova Wildcats vs. Butler Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd738bfddc3df6480635f61b4f5695a6314ca0615b83b139db5b657e5b438241b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villanova Wildcatsof Villanova Wildcats, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Butler Bulldogs | 54c | 33,573$18,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,129.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 20,850$9,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,261.86 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Butler Bulldogs | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 45c | 19,500$8,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,630 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 6,492$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.92 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 2,935$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 2,714$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.05 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Butler Bulldogs | 56c | 2,529$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.03 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Villanova Wildcats | 55c | 1,845$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.14 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 1,490$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.99 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 4c | 1,124$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 984.91$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.77 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Butler Bulldogs | 55c | 905.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Villanova Wildcats | 42c | 875.41$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.84 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Butler Bulldogs | 36c | 843.81$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.13 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Villanova Wildcats | 45c | 706$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.3 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Villanova Wildcats | 52c | 680.55$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.61 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Butler Bulldogs | 53c | 679.63$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.81 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Butler Bulldogs | 35c | 596.53$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.93 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 56c | 586.71$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.56 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Butler Bulldogs | 76c | 561.65$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.29 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 498$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.92 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Butler Bulldogs | 16c | 400$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Butler Bulldogs | 4c | 390.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Butler Bulldogs | 18c | 367.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 354.94$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 326.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.24 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Villanova Wildcats | 60c | 304$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…79f6backed Villanova Wildcats | 31c | 269.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 251$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Villanova Wildcats | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Butler Bulldogs | 56c | 213.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Butler Bulldogs | 27c | 212.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Villanova Wildcats | 29c | 208.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Butler Bulldogs | 66c | 155$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Villanova Wildcats | 70c | 151.42$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Villanova Wildcats | 69c | 151.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Villanova Wildcats | 54c | 146.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed Villanova Wildcats | 44c | 141.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Villanova Wildcats | 64c | 126.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…59ffbacked Villanova Wildcats | 78c | 115.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf52d…6ddebacked Villanova Wildcats | 79c | 101.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Villanova Wildcats | 37c | 91.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 49c | 85.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Villanova Wildcats | 42c | 80.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Villanova Wildcats | 41c | 70.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Butler Bulldogs | 67c | 64.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…325ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 43c | 62.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 60.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Butler Bulldogs | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Villanova Wildcats | 31c | 41.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Butler Bulldogs | 59c | 40.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…d295backed Villanova Wildcats | 70c | 38.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 37.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Villanova Wildcats | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…c06cbacked Villanova Wildcats | 43c | 34.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…b4edbacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Butler Bulldogs | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Butler Bulldogs | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 24.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…0b04backed Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 23.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Butler Bulldogs | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Butler Bulldogsthis page
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-2.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-1.5)Villanova Wildcats won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 146.5Over won
- Villanova Wildcats vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.