Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCLA Bruins vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af8dc00b9c6980757f69cc4f45b7044b2ff6ed88ad89f9e40b4c1fee2bab79e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Hawkeyesof UCLA Bruins, Iowa Hawkeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 73c | 5,268$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.54 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked UCLA Bruins | 27c | 3,331$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.27 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCLA Bruins | 15c | 2,564$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.87 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 78c | 1,455$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.1 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 73c | 1,346$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.96 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed UCLA Bruins | 27c | 1,250$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 77c | 1,146$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.79 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed UCLA Bruins | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UCLA Bruins | 16c | 571.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked UCLA Bruins | 31c | 486.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked UCLA Bruins | 30c | 477$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UCLA Bruins | 27c | 429.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UCLA Bruins | 19c | 412$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UCLA Bruins | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…d79fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed UCLA Bruins | 21c | 268$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 69c | 238.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed UCLA Bruins | 27c | 221$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…a993backed UCLA Bruins | 9c | 215.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UCLA Bruins | 27c | 208.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…8e33backed UCLA Bruins | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…79f6backed UCLA Bruins | 13c | 190.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked UCLA Bruins | 18c | 175.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed UCLA Bruins | 17c | 171.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UCLA Bruins | 17c | 140.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 75c | 110.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…7dbebacked UCLA Bruins | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked UCLA Bruins | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 70c | 90.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UCLA Bruins | 28c | 44.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed UCLA Bruins | 27c | 40.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 71c | 26.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA Bruins vs. Iowa Hawkeyesthis page
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-5.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-6.5)Iowa Hawkeyes won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 136.5Under won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5Under won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5Under won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 139.5Under won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.