Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis Tigers vs. Rice Owls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87b9cd759ee09dce44ebb4b714c34358db519591d9121538151b508083bf80f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphis Tigersof Memphis Tigers, Rice Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rice Owls | 35c | 3,738$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.44 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Rice Owls | 37c | 3,603$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Memphis Tigers | 76c | 3,600$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Memphis Tigers | 62c | 3,565$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.38 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…79f6backed Rice Owls | 1c | 1,756$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Rice Owls | 43c | 1,263$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.16 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rice Owls | 4c | 1,161$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Rice Owls | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rice Owls | 16c | 843.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Memphis Tigers | 65c | 791.49$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.08 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Memphis Tigers | 78c | 730$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Rice Owls | 14c | 573.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Rice Owls | 18c | 556.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rice Owls | 12c | 494.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rice Owls | 46c | 326.73$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Memphis Tigers | 76c | 289.5$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Rice Owls | 24c | 274$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rice Owls | 10c | 273.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Memphis Tigers | 70c | 252.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rice Owls | 40c | 232.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Rice Owls | 13c | 231$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Rice Owls | 29c | 215.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Rice Owls | 48c | 202.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Rice Owls | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Rice Owls | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rice Owls | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Rice Owls | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Rice Owls | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Rice Owls | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Rice Owls | 27c | 110.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Rice Owls | 20c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Rice Owls | 42c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Memphis Tigers | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Memphis Tigers | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Memphis Tigers | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Memphis Tigers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…e2c7backed Memphis Tigers | 77c | 31.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Memphis Tigers | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Memphis Tigers | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Memphis Tigers | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Memphis Tigers | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Memphis Tigers | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis Tigers vs. Rice Owlsthis page
- Memphis Tigers vs. Rice Owls: O/U 142.5Over won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Rice Owls: O/U 143.5Over won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Rice Owls: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-8.5)Rice Owls won
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-9.5)Rice Owls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.