TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Pacers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,222,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,283,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,222,827 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 658 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Pacers19c239,053$45,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,970.4415443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Raptors80c70,000$56,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,00020253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Raptors80c60,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0009851%50 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers20c50,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pacers36c32,517$11,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,770.226038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers36c30,231$10,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,754.775,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers21c30,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers18c27,414$4,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,957.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Pacers5c21,669$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.275925.4%15 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed Raptors72c18,117$13,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.761435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Pacers20c17,554$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.7947751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pacers18c16,646$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.3572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5224…0de8backed Raptors63c15,598$9,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,842.165658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Raptors79c15,555$12,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.5515952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers21c13,663$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.214,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers19c11,107$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pacers19c10,976$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.862,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers27c10,299$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.931,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Raptors79c8,800$6,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84826637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Raptors64c7,661$4,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.5676850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8867…4bb7backed Raptors79c7,121$5,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.78366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Pacers1c6,955$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5537930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Raptors58c6,715$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,814.227353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers18c5,119$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.3672450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Pacers36c5,095$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.7919136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8fd…5cddbacked Pacers21c5,075$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Raptors62c5,051$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.386665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers19c5,011$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pacers18c4,900$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.662,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pacers20c4,800$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96062351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66de…71d4backed Raptors75c4,600$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+42.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8178…775cbacked Pacers25c4,499$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers20c4,102$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.981,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f2a…de7ebacked Pacers19c4,100$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Pacers23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9910530.5%32 W · 73 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Pacers18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9811649.1%57 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf58…d161backed Pacers26c3,874$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pacers18c3,800$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Pacers18c3,444$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.8614549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pacers17c3,385$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.6595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68db…ee32backed Raptors75c3,260$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.498453.6%45 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors77c3,224$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.7781529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Raptors64c3,166$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.942466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers20c3,050$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6101,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e49…5be0backed Pacers20c3,046$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2901,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Pacers18c3,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.986636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Pacers20c2,983$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.6836351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors65c2,900$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0151,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Pacers19c2,900$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.9616730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers30c2,896$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers33c2,891$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.152,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0854…186bbacked Pacers21c2,800$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+124.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pacers35c2,761$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.6585344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Pacers30c2,502$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.6314245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd4…308cbacked Raptors80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006660.6%40 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb35a…98a0backed Pacers20c2,490$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Raptors73c2,419$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.3711251.8%58 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Pacers8c2,411$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7834425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Pacers21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Raptors76c2,281$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.5515274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x011c…6e6ebacked Pacers23c2,258$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.3950%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Raptors66c2,252$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.58863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a0b…0d3bbacked Raptors80c2,240$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…68eebacked Raptors77c2,187$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Pacers20c2,096$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.184037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Raptors53c2,085$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.922,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Pacers7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2352…c350backed Pacers19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors73c1,905$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.0673649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5cf…511dbacked Pacers19c1,900$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Raptors80c1,864$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.869852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Pacers47c1,860$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.2285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers26c1,859$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.041,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors66c1,845$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Raptors80c1,841$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.227758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers18c1,838$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.363,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Pacers45c1,793$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7efe…1c2ebacked Raptors80c1,781$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.15475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Raptors75c1,763$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.8427152%141 W · 130 L-17.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed Raptors79c1,750$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-61.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers19c1,732$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.1789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdcad…c851backed Raptors63c1,700$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.33850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Pacers20c1,700$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fec…62f0backed Pacers20c1,700$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…c9eebacked Raptors65c1,656$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.412075%15 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked Raptors61c1,636$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.049943.4%43 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Raptors47c1,606$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.965843.1%25 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pacers24c1,600$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3761,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Pacers19c1,600$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3093033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d0…673fbacked Pacers19c1,600$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.991136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Raptors80c1,590$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31822857.5%131 W · 97 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5d6fbacked Pacers19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Raptors66c1,552$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.0145647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Raptors79c1,542$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.1516750.9%85 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pacers19c1,532$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.7130249.3%149 W · 153 L+33.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x09e2…01f2backed Pacers1c1,519$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Raptors73c1,514$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.0423140.3%93 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pacers17c1,503$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.581,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.