NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dec8a9a013736f4a90e7875fc393b8fbe7b0d629e3ed0ef9e4b00fc9499038e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 19,437$9,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,998.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 52c | 7,242$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.88 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 50c | 5,496$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…1552backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 48c | 627.89$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.5 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 52c | 432.88$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.1 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…252ebacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 54c | 83.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 46c | 83.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 47.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…4c7abacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 49c | 29.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe651…4661backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Pacers won
- Pacers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.