NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7417fa32909a886ade17111f562627b14eeff81628493fe6f1c978e5f6ef6778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 25,149$12,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,762.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.98 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.55 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…0938backed Over | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 53c | 5,934$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.45 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 48c | 4,237$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.85 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 50c | 3,695$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.4 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 50c | 3,100$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Over | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 1,321$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.07 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 48c | 1,313$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.99 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 1,186$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.86 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 46c | 1,115$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 50c | 1,111$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.35 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.38 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 49c | 685$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 49c | 428.57$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 411.31$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 48c | 406.7$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Under | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 40c | 356.23$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 339.84$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Under | 70c | 336.48$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 278.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 269.58$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Under | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 172$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under | 51c | 135.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 123.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…416dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 55c | 95.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 45c | 95.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 94.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 90.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 75.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed Under | 50c | 67.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 52c | 57.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…2ca4backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…7af1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…622cbacked Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26de…09d6backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 55c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Under | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…0cbebacked Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87b4…23c0backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc533…89c1backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Pacers won
- Pacers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.