NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8d4ce2e4764a052ecd5857255bf0c0d78975349da4398f104a566621366a5b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Raptors, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Pacers | 54c | 370,655$200,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170,654.8 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 46c | 169,481$77,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,766.57 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raptors | 46c | 96,493$44,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,386.84 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers | 50c | 50,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,799.97 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Raptors | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 52c | 37,140$19,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,827.22 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raptors | 48c | 21,353$10,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249.44 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 46c | 21,011$9,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,606.14 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 48c | 16,252$7,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,794.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…0d41backed Raptors | 50c | 10,702$5,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,364.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 46c | 8,322$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866.09 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Raptors | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…55ebbacked Pacers | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf95…eb74backed Raptors | 51c | 7,300$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…7e7fbacked Pacers | 49c | 7,300$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…9e65backed Raptors | 50c | 6,200$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Raptors | 51c | 5,848$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.25 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 47c | 5,803$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,473$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raptors | 48c | 4,271$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.89 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Raptors | 50c | 3,985$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.7 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…1424backed Raptors | 50c | 3,268$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Raptors | 50c | 3,250$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 49c | 3,076$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.21 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Raptors | 47c | 2,820$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.4 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 48c | 2,575$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Pacers | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…1552backed Raptors | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Raptors | 47c | 1,890$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.3 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a1…0d1bbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,584$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 46c | 1,368$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.91 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Raptors | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Raptors | 51c | 975.22$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.36 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pacers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors | 46c | 906.16$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.83 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 46c | 900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Raptors | 47c | 640$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raptors | 31c | 625$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Raptors | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Raptors | 50c | 513.2$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.6 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pacers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Raptors | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 46c | 427$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Raptors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Pacers | 50c | 386.76$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Pacers | 53c | 360.6$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 39c | 334.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Raptors | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218a…e227backed Raptors | 50c | 251$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b1…306bbacked Pacers | 51c | 213$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…b721backed Raptors | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Raptors | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pacers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Raptors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…91d9backed Raptors | 50c | 186$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Raptors | 50c | 182$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f9…adc0backed Pacers | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…585abacked Pacers | 51c | 173$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…e829backed Raptors | 50c | 164$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Raptors | 47c | 154.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pacers | 49c | 153.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…9192backed Pacers | 51c | 153$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Raptors | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…a1b9backed Raptors | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Raptors | 49c | 136$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Pacers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Raptors | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…aa5dbacked Pacers | 51c | 128$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Raptors | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Raptors | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…b226backed Pacers | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Pacers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Raptors | 50c | 99.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Raptors | 48c | 91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Raptors | 51c | 88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Raptors | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Pacers | 51c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Pacers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Raptors | 47c | 57.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 50c | 52.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Raptors | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…1610backed Raptors | 49c | 50.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Raptors | 48c | 50.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Pacers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Raptors | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Pacers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Raptors | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pacers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Pacers | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Raptors | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Pacers | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31f…e89dbacked Pacers | 40c | 37.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Pacers | 48c | 32.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…310dbacked Raptors | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Pacers won
- Pacers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.