TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Michigan Wolverines vs. Auburn Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Auburn Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,291,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,766,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,291,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Auburn Tigers30c425,628$126,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126,639.374454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Michigan Wolverines69c414,237$287,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126,416.446245.2%28 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Michigan Wolverines70c107,364$75,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,209.229652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Michigan Wolverines68c78,948$53,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,970.3569142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Auburn Tigers31c41,418$12,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,839.4513649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Michigan Wolverines80c32,000$25,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,400.111662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Auburn Tigers31c30,431$9,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,448.072020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+452.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Auburn Tigers31c24,551$7,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,61012,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5d…f75dbacked Michigan Wolverines69c21,591$14,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,741.43757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Auburn Tigers31c17,910$5,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,548.1290645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Auburn Tigers31c15,091$4,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,672.3436944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Michigan Wolverines68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2002962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Auburn Tigers32c9,162$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.151,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Michigan Wolverines68c6,250$4,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.4112853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Michigan Wolverines69c6,013$4,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.182,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Michigan Wolverines69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Auburn Tigers31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.995160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Auburn Tigers31c4,500$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39528539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Auburn Tigers24c2,967$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.178639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Michigan Wolverines69c2,591$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.341353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Auburn Tigers25c2,543$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.981,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Auburn Tigers33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Auburn Tigers31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Auburn Tigers14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Michigan Wolverines69c1,737$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Auburn Tigers33c1,672$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.885949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Auburn Tigers32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Michigan Wolverines76c1,554$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.02560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Michigan Wolverines67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.922755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Auburn Tigers32c1,485$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.525,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Michigan Wolverines69c1,250$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.55044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Auburn Tigers32c1,080$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7249043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Auburn Tigers32c1,056$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.421,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Auburn Tigers34c1,053$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.012,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Michigan Wolverines69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.212045%9 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Michigan Wolverines69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3104353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Auburn Tigers31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010429.8%31 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Michigan Wolverines67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304250%21 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Michigan Wolverines68c925.7$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.351,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Auburn Tigers34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Michigan Wolverines70c850.86$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.793652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Auburn Tigers33c800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a28…7f61backed Auburn Tigers33c788.67$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+75.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Auburn Tigers32c740.07$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.414,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Auburn Tigers31c716.01$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Auburn Tigers16c712$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8633438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b0…28f6backed Michigan Wolverines69c664.67$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.05540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Auburn Tigers33c572.88$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.567727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Michigan Wolverines66c540.84$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8916341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Auburn Tigers30c512.39$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Michigan Wolverines68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Michigan Wolverines67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad34…4386backed Auburn Tigers33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Auburn Tigers33c458.55$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.321154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+61.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Michigan Wolverines69c450$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.541554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Michigan Wolverines69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.781040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Auburn Tigers31c424.84$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.883,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Michigan Wolverines67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1325137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Auburn Tigers33c380.2$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3752928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a33…c087backed Michigan Wolverines70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Auburn Tigers31c325$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Michigan Wolverines68c314$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.483148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Auburn Tigers32c311.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.841,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Michigan Wolverines67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9914150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Michigan Wolverines69c275.36$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.361741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…ef6abacked Michigan Wolverines68c272.51$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fa…6745backed Auburn Tigers33c269.61$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Michigan Wolverines67c260$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Auburn Tigers33c238$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.455657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf6…002dbacked Auburn Tigers33c220.92$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Auburn Tigers32c201.2$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.542,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Auburn Tigers24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.62,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Michigan Wolverines69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Michigan Wolverines69c199.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Auburn Tigers32c178$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5635243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Auburn Tigers33c175.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.511,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines77c154$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.965,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ee8…22c2backed Auburn Tigers33c153.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Michigan Wolverines68c147.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1822640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x668a…e8e1backed Michigan Wolverines68c145.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…79f6backed Michigan Wolverines69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Michigan Wolverines70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.867452.7%39 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Auburn Tigers32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed Auburn Tigers32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Auburn Tigers32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Auburn Tigers11c120$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5664322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Michigan Wolverines66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.82774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Auburn Tigers31c119.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf014…d442backed Michigan Wolverines67c115$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.95560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd6…35dbbacked Auburn Tigers32c112.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Auburn Tigers32c100.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1832337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked Michigan Wolverines69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Auburn Tigers31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f4b…f574backed Michigan Wolverines68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Michigan Wolverines68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Michigan Wolverines68c88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1634947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked Michigan Wolverines70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.713956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Auburn Tigers31c77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8716053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3185…7c83backed Michigan Wolverines68c74.8$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Michigan Wolverines69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.467061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.