TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Virginia Cavaliers vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virginia Cavaliersof Virginia Cavaliers, North Carolina State Wolfpack
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed North Carolina State Wolfpack28c5,421$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.561,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia Cavaliers36c4,750$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.772,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina State Wolfpack23c3,520$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.445,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68ce…d06dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack20c2,952$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.471233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Virginia Cavaliers71c2,771$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8087839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Virginia Cavaliers79c2,668$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.081,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2596…0431backed Virginia Cavaliers67c2,614$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+170.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Virginia Cavaliers38c2,390$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.643953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack66c2,274$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.861030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack3c1,973$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.625536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack52c1,914$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.781,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack64c1,574$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.3615851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack67c1,496$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Virginia Cavaliers66c1,329$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.374973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Virginia Cavaliers79c1,250$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.55556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed Virginia Cavaliers53c1,230$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.91728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Virginia Cavaliers36c1,063$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.2916135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack64c800$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.074030%12 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed North Carolina State Wolfpack16c699.95$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.992524%6 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed North Carolina State Wolfpack22c685$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15442327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack46c652.53$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.332,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack14c599.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.643520%7 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3673…79f6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack7c598.53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack54c568.17$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.314,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina State Wolfpack20c515.21$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.534,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack21c485$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.591,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Virginia Cavaliers34c474.49$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.162,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack15c382.26$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.697140.8%29 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed North Carolina State Wolfpack20c310.92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.182,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack64c302.63$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.43,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbe…aa3bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Virginia Cavaliers35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack64c297.97$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Cavaliers63c269.51$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.381,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf41…5562backed Virginia Cavaliers69c266.92$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Virginia Cavaliers36c249.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.982828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed North Carolina State Wolfpack22c230$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.657448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Virginia Cavaliers37c220$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.621449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Virginia Cavaliers79c210$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.155657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked Virginia Cavaliers50c200.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc5…3984backed North Carolina State Wolfpack15c185.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed North Carolina State Wolfpack22c179.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.543,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Virginia Cavaliers37c167.58$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5821830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Virginia Cavaliers32c162.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.541,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Virginia Cavaliers63c161.78$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4336942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Virginia Cavaliers35c125.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7150546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf81…601dbacked Virginia Cavaliers80c125.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Virginia Cavaliers34c124.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.491,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack16c113.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.041,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Virginia Cavaliers67c100.76$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.251782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+63.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3f49…1befbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145714%8 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Virginia Cavaliers34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f19…325ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack54c93.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.671540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack64c91$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2432751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Virginia Cavaliers38c77.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.892334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd000…3fb9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack64c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…070fbacked Virginia Cavaliers36c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack21c63.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.559412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Virginia Cavaliers36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.419237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Virginia Cavaliers50c53.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2819057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1b…a397backed Virginia Cavaliers42c50.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+284.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x156f…6887backed North Carolina State Wolfpack65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.53158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ac…10e0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack28c39.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Virginia Cavaliers50c39.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82763%17 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d7…615fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack59c39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed Virginia Cavaliers44c34.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.161546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Virginia Cavaliers60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fd…b2d8backed North Carolina State Wolfpack49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Virginia Cavaliers37c29.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.872045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Virginia Cavaliers37c29.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Virginia Cavaliers52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18eb…ccaabacked Virginia Cavaliers79c27.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.857254.2%39 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Virginia Cavaliers44c25.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack64c23.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.229554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed North Carolina State Wolfpack66c23.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.621,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack59c23.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8619454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed North Carolina State Wolfpack55c21.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed North Carolina State Wolfpack66c21.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Virginia Cavaliers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.