Golf · resolved market
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2025 BMW Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23fe84a0be108de01a6e3de78e1710da67421b855913f0e6ee98d2a7e11a0d2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 4 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x697a…d5aabacked Yes | 7c | 594.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Yes | 2c | 520$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 5c | 251$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…2983backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Viktor Hovland win the 2025 BMW Championship?this page
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Cameron Young win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Daniel Berger win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Jhonattan Vegas win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Sam Burns win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 BMW Championship?Yes won
- Will Sepp Straka win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2025 BMW Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.