TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 BMW Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes28c32,115$8,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,128.92718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No28c30,394$8,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,430.065133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd4e…2f7ebacked No74c19,970$14,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,777.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No16c17,066$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes64c11,662$7,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,215.56316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-81.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes60c9,601$5,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,814.0914043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Yes43c9,059$3,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,141.421050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No74c7,000$5,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,18023319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No42c4,203$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.933444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No44c3,800$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.681040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No41c3,649$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.934540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No66c2,613$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.953411.8%4 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-80.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes36c1,827$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.982412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-50.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes38c1,825$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.95560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Yes41c1,805$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9c…2a63backed Yes26c1,311$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+287.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No67c1,076$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.588343.4%36 W · 47 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+121%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc525…7a36backed Yes76c866$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No58c860.57$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.917062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No58c811.66$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.238756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed No57c761.24$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No52c746.95$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.214065%26 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No56c722.56$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.281464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No52c710.28$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.652454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cad…ca89backed Yes26c656.4$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.53922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No62c605.76$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.541827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes52c601$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.2610850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No51c532.47$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1370%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes31c479.63$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.851227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No63c474.49$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.944035%14 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No19c455$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.282953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No47c424.56$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.433360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No59c411.97$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.335341.5%22 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes35c400$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.43429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+87.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac8c…415cbacked Yes61c397$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.94683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed No59c382.99$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.851957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No69c379.03$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.952040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9afd…3028backed No58c362.51$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f0…8a69backed Yes64c361.61$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.141330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Yes38c356.81$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.64728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No48c340.01$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.82725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked No65c330.59$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No57c322$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.111712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No76c320.11$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.213857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes33c305.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0864…b3d0backed Yes33c303.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+78.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Yes33c303$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.01333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2224916.3%8 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe630…1faebacked Yes77c285.69$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes41c275.8$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.934520%9 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes55c271$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.64955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes25c250$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.52927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6f…7e67backed No65c249.88$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No41c247.36$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.686958%40 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes49c204.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x897a…b17ebacked No66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No60c167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.073525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Yes31c165$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc138…3e3dbacked No65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+98.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes26c147.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.368118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda9…3023backed Yes73c140.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No50c119.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.471861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes78c110$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9322546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed No75c103.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1918…5a25backed No61c98.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2045…f333backed Yes41c95.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No70c93.42$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.792669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x159c…6e5bbacked Yes37c84.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f3…6244backed No61c81.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf451…bcf1backed Yes37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e6…7e57backed Yes40c80.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed No59c70.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-68.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f12…5771backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-62.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadb7…2983backed Yes45c67.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.322035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4662…1d65backed Yes40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No49c62.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes25c60.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.03837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2917…7c39backed Yes71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…b37dbacked Yes37c54.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.62825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes30c54.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.235100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+102%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xab22…762dbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+139%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e6…e838backed Yes26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed No75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.63773%27 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffab…df9bbacked Yes41c49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes38c39.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+51.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-71.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf04e…c744backed No61c26.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No76c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f6…dbb6backed No61c21.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.