TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 FedEx Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,956 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c7,500$13 inLost-$12.52953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c96…abc5backed Yes9c1,054$100 inLost-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6c…465dbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes27c300$81 inLost-$81933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c300$219 inWon+$81862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes19c214.21$40 inLost-$39.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-72.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f0…0446backed Yes50c109.47$55 inLost-$55.160%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa518…41e3backed No75c101$76 inWon+$25.25887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes25c101$25 inLost-$25.25812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f0…8a69backed Yes25c98.68$25 inLost-$24.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5921…3e13backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b48…35d0backed No54c95.21$52 inWon+$43.621586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb485…9238backed Yes16c94.46$15 inLost-$15.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…f894backed Yes18c81.37$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f73…ced3backed Yes36c80$29 inLost-$28.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed Yes17c59.52$10 inLost-$10.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c4…bbc5backed No65c59.43$39 inWon+$20.8520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-69.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No78c58$45 inWon+$12.716746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…2782backed Yes60c50$30 inLost-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0864…b3d0backed Yes43c46.02$20 inLost-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+78.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6704…d171backed No51c40$20 inWon+$19.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed6…b287backed Yes45c35.82$16 inLost-$15.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x440d…55e6backed No78c33$26 inWon+$7.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x064c…2de1backed No57c29.3$17 inWon+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb7…2983backed No70c19.93$14 inWon+$5.932035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ec…1dadbacked No57c18.37$10 inWon+$7.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.