Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal to score first vs. Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf697190062d5f3409ce3f8663386407cd78b96b86e9ab01711874dd627b36484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 37c | 8,003$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e45…5b61backed Yes | 37c | 4,827$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.1 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 63c | 4,599$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.63 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 3,767$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.38 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 37c | 3,595$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.07 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 3,582$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 3,558$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.31 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 38c | 3,500$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 2,720$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.43 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 2,607$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.17 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 2,315$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.92 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,180$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 57c | 1,963$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.56 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 36c | 1,625$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.09 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 61c | 1,610$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.89 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 63c | 1,450$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.02 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 1,262$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.94 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed No | 71c | 1,209$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.89 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 62c | 1,205$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.57 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…7f3cbacked No | 78c | 1,142$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.31 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…7363backed Yes | 38c | 1,100$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.99 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 892.78$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.12 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 63c | 799.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 37c | 786.49$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b076backed Yes | 41c | 739.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 55c | 686.05$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.74 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 69c | 684$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.01 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 63c | 605.5$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.03 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 57c | 604$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.71 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 66c | 580.68$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…6f10backed Yes | 27c | 546.16$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.66 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…6dd8backed Yes | 37c | 542.38$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 62c | 485$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c6…ce8abacked Yes | 37c | 471.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ae…8b7bbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 37c | 408.11$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6035…cc85backed Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 63c | 389.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa23…33e0backed Yes | 46c | 324.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 39c | 320.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…a9b5backed Yes | 25c | 318.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 62c | 292.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…4bd3backed Yes | 35c | 287.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…b59fbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…e786backed Yes | 41c | 272.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fb…288ebacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…4f6bbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd6…c388backed No | 73c | 257.5$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…0487backed Yes | 40c | 247.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…5e57backed Yes | 41c | 246.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…2e2bbacked Yes | 41c | 241.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 34c | 238.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba4…d608backed Yes | 37c | 235.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 26c | 224.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 67c | 210.3$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…6aadbacked Yes | 39c | 210.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 35c | 208.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Yes | 38c | 205.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 62c | 203.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 61c | 201$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…8156backed Yes | 38c | 183.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 61c | 169.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 72c | 152$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 57c | 151$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 37c | 144.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 41c | 143.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…ed36backed Yes | 37c | 140.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…2723backed Yes | 36c | 139.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a7a9backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…9dd0backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…3d37backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…ca5abacked Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…db1dbacked Yes | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…5b3cbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…4ccebacked Yes | 36c | 114$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 37c | 111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…2c41backed Yes | 38c | 106.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d1…ff3ebacked Yes | 26c | 106.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 64c | 104.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…8903backed Yes | 37c | 102.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…e53dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…36bbbacked Yes | 41c | 97.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d0…74e8backed Yes | 37c | 92.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 63c | 89.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…9e35backed Yes | 36c | 86.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…fdf0backed Yes | 23c | 86.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 60c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ae…e40abacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal to score first vs. Spain?this page
- Portugal vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?No won
- Spain to score first vs. Portugal?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.